US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthRange49%
Monthly Range probability 98%Range

PAYX 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $85.45 - $161.24 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.3, MACD 0.368

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.74 (12.79%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$110.21Bullish
EMA 21$114.93Bullish
EMA 50$116.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.3 · MACD 0.368

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $14.74 · BB 67.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.2 · OBV -28.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$85.45 - $161.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.78% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$175.98
Nearest resistance

+39.99% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$161.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.18
Nearest support

-25.81% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$85.45
Deeper support zone

-38.61% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$70.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$100.44 - $129.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.98, invalidation $98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.9 / 17.7 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.03 / $123.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.74 (12.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.92%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$146.84 / $82.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.44 / $129.92Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.368Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.9 / 46.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.98, invalidation $98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.9 / 17.7 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.03 / $123.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.368Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.9 / 46.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.74 (12.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.92%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$146.84 / $82.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.44 / $129.92Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.45Range

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