US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish82%
1h Downside probability 82%Bearish

PAYX 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $97.01 and stabilize above resistance $100.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $100.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.7, MACD 0.001

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.19 (1.24%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$96.41Bearish
EMA 21$97.01Bearish
EMA 50$98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.7 · MACD 0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.19 · BB 4.79%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 40.9 · OBV -33.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$93.4 - $100.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.51% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$101.7
Nearest resistance

+4.27% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$100.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$96.39
Nearest support

-3.1% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.4
Deeper support zone

-4.33% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$92.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$95.19 - $97.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $98.5, invalidation $95.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 26.9 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.02 / $97.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.19 (1.24%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.79%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$99.55 / $94.38Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.19 / $97.58Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.9 / 57.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $98.5, invalidation $95.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 26.9 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.02 / $97.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.9 / 57.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.19 (1.24%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.79%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$99.55 / $94.38Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.19 / $97.58Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.4Range

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