US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish84%
Daily Downside probability 84%Bearish

PAYX 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $107.95 and stabilize above resistance $127.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $127.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.8, MACD -1.208

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.98 (3.01%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$101.47Bearish
EMA 21$107.95Bearish
EMA 50$111.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.8 · MACD -1.208

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.98 · BB 29.92%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 14.0 · OBV -78.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$98 - $127.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.36% · 10.8 ATR above latest close

$130.96
Nearest resistance

+29.35% · 9.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$127.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.94
Nearest support

-0.95% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$98
Deeper support zone

-3.96% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$95.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$95.96 - $101.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $98, invalidation $119.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.6 / 4.0 / 48.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.62 / $112.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.98 (3.01%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.92%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.72 / $100.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.96 / $101.92Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.208Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.6 / 7.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.9Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-78.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $98, invalidation $119.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.6 / 4.0 / 48.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.62 / $112.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.208Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.6 / 7.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.9Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.98 (3.01%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.92%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.72 / $100.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.96 / $101.92Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-78.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98Range

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