US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish60%
Daily Downside probability 60%Bearish

PAYX 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $120.21 and stabilize above resistance $127.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $127.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.4, MACD -1.616

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.38 (2.06%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$118.31Bearish
EMA 21$120.21Bearish
EMA 50$116.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.4 · MACD -1.616

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.38 · BB 13.05%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.1 · OBV 3.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$113.69 - $127.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.57% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$130.36
Nearest resistance

+10.52% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$127.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.8
Nearest support

-1.83% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$113.69
Deeper support zone

-3.88% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$111.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$113.42 - $118.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.98, invalidation $114.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.2 / 18.4 / 37.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.25 / $114.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.38 (2.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.05%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.09 / $115.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.42 / $118.18Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.616Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 8.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.98, invalidation $114.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.2 / 18.4 / 37.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.25 / $114.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.616Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 8.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.38 (2.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.05%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.09 / $115.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.42 / $118.18Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.69Range

Related Forecasts