US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

NIO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $3.46 and stabilize above resistance $3.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $3.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 36.9, MACD 0.002

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.04628 (1.36%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3.41Bearish
EMA 21$3.46Bearish
EMA 50$3.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.9 · MACD 0.002

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.04628 · BB 9.19%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 33.4 · OBV -13.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.37 - $3.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.95% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$3.81
Nearest resistance

+10.59% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$3.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.4
Nearest support

-0.88% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.37
Deeper support zone

-2.24% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$3.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3.35 - $3.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.46, invalidation $3.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.5 / 12.3 / 18.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.48 / $3.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.04628 (1.36%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.19%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$3.54 / $3.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.35 / $3.45Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$3.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.002Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 21.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.46, invalidation $3.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.5 / 12.3 / 18.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.48 / $3.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.002Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 21.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.04628 (1.36%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.19%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$3.54 / $3.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.35 / $3.45Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$3.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.37Range

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