US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

NIO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $3.23 and stabilize above resistance $3.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $3.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.0, MACD -0.031

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.06235 (2.04%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3.15Bearish
EMA 21$3.23Bearish
EMA 50$3.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.0 · MACD -0.031

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.06235 · BB 13.46%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.9 · OBV -14.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.03 - $3.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.83% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$3.5
Nearest resistance

+12.79% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$3.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.05
Nearest support

-0.66% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.03
Deeper support zone

-2.7% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$2.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$2.99 - $3.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.33, invalidation $3.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.9 / 6.9 / 46.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.21 / $3.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.06235 (2.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.46%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$3.34 / $3.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.99 / $3.11Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$3.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.031Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.1 / 5.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.75xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.33, invalidation $3.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.9 / 6.9 / 46.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.21 / $3.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.031Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.1 / 5.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.06235 (2.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.46%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$3.34 / $3.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.99 / $3.11Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.75xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$3.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.03Range

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