US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish70%
4h Downside probability 70%Bearish

NIO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $3.74 and stabilize above resistance $4.35.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4.35 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 40.7, MACD 0.019

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.06888 (1.86%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3.67Bullish
EMA 21$3.74Bearish
EMA 50$3.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.7 · MACD 0.019

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.06888 · BB 7.57%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.7 · OBV -15.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.57 - $4.35

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.43% · 10.4 ATR above latest close

$4.42
Nearest resistance

+17.57% · 9.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4.35
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.7
Nearest support

-3.52% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.57
Deeper support zone

-5.38% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$3.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3.63 - $3.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.57, invalidation $3.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.3 / 24.5 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.69 / $4.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.06888 (1.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.57%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$3.86 / $3.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.63 / $3.77Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.019Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.5 / 41.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.57, invalidation $3.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.3 / 24.5 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.69 / $4.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.019Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.5 / 41.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.06888 (1.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.57%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$3.86 / $3.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.63 / $3.77Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.57Range

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