US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

NIO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $5.15 and stabilize above resistance $6.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.9, MACD 0.011

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.1368 (2.77%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$5.05Bearish
EMA 21$5.15Bearish
EMA 50$5.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.9 · MACD 0.011

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1368 · BB 6.68%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.1 · OBV -41.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$4.86 - $6.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.72% · 10.7 ATR above latest close

$6.4
Nearest resistance

+26.95% · 9.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$4.94
Nearest support

-1.52% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$4.86
Deeper support zone

-4.29% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$4.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4.8 - $5.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.86, invalidation $5.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 20.9 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.13 / $5.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.1368 (2.77%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.68%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5.4 / $4.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.8 / $5.07Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.011Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 36.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.86, invalidation $5.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 20.9 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.13 / $5.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.011Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 36.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.1368 (2.77%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.68%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5.4 / $4.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.8 / $5.07Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4.86Range

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