US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

NIO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $3.36 and stabilize above resistance $3.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $3.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.3, MACD -0.003

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.07326 (2.22%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3.32Bearish
EMA 21$3.36Bearish
EMA 50$3.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.3 · MACD -0.003

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.07326 · BB 7.05%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 52.5 · OBV -4.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$3.23 - $3.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.14% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$3.67
Nearest resistance

+8.93% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$3.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.31
Nearest support

-2.27% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.23
Deeper support zone

-4.49% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$3.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3.23 - $3.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.49, invalidation $3.39

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 29.2 / 26.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.36 / $3.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.07326 (2.22%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.05%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$3.5 / $3.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.23 / $3.38Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$3.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.003Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.8 / 35.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.49, invalidation $3.39

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 29.2 / 26.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.36 / $3.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.003Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.8 / 35.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.07326 (2.22%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.05%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$3.5 / $3.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.23 / $3.38Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$3.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.23Range

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