US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish75%
1h Downside probability 75%Bearish

NIO 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $5.03 and stabilize above resistance $5.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $5.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -0.010

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.07214 (1.46%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4.99Bearish
EMA 21$5.03Bearish
EMA 50$5.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -0.010

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.07214 · BB 6.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 58.9 · OBV -0.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$4.86 - $5.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.24% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$5.29
Nearest resistance

+5.78% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$5.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$4.94
Nearest support

-1.52% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$4.86
Deeper support zone

-2.98% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$4.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4.86 - $5.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5.06, invalidation $4.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.6 / 35.1 / 25.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.01 / $5.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.07214 (1.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.62%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5.13 / $4.91Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.86 / $5.01Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$5.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.010Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.1 / 24.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5.06, invalidation $4.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.6 / 35.1 / 25.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.01 / $5.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.010Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.1 / 24.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.07214 (1.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.62%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5.13 / $4.91Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.86 / $5.01Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$5.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4.86Range

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