US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 monthRange51%
Monthly Range probability 98%Range

NIO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $3.02 - $9.57 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD 0.284

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.46 (28.75%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$5.41Bearish
EMA 21$5.7Bearish
EMA 50$9.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD 0.284

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.46 · BB 87.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 67.0 · OBV 19.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$3.02 - $9.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+117.51% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$11.03
Nearest resistance

+88.76% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$9.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5.07
Nearest support

-40.43% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.02
Deeper support zone

-69.18% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$1.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3.61 - $6.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.5 / 28.0 / 16.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.9570Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.74 / $13.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.46 (28.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.49%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8.32 / $2.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.61 / $6.53Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.284Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.0 / 41.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-11.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.5 / 28.0 / 16.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.9570Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.74 / $13.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.284Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.0 / 41.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-11.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.46 (28.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.49%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8.32 / $2.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.61 / $6.53Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

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