US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish57%
Monthly Downside probability 57%Bearish

NIO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $5.83 and stabilize above resistance $11.35.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $11.35 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.2, MACD 0.469

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.45 (28.55%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$5.52Bearish
EMA 21$5.83Bearish
EMA 50$11.81Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD 0.469

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.45 · BB 88.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 64.3 · OBV -12.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$3.02 - $11.35

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+151.22% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$12.8
Nearest resistance

+122.67% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$11.35
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5.1
Nearest support

-40.73% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.02
Deeper support zone

-69.28% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$1.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3.64 - $6.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 28.1 / 15.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.86 / $13.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.45 (28.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 88.64%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8.7 / $2.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.64 / $6.55Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$11.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.469Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 52.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

22.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 28.1 / 15.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.86 / $13.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.469Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 52.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

22.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.45 (28.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 88.64%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8.7 / $2.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.64 / $6.55Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$11.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

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