US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

NIO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $5.19 and stabilize above resistance $8.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $8.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.3, MACD 0.005

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.25 (37%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4.46Bearish
EMA 21$5.19Bearish
EMA 50$8.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.3 · MACD 0.005

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.25 · BB 97.78%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.6 · OBV 5.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$3.02 - $8.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+202.28% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$10.19
Nearest resistance

+165.28% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$8.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.37
Nearest support

-10.39% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.02
Deeper support zone

-47.38% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$1.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$2.12 - $4.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.3 / 16.0 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.3495Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.35 / $13.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.25 (37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 97.78%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7.17 / $3.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.12 / $4.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.005Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 7.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.27%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.3 / 16.0 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.3495Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.35 / $13.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.005Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 7.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.25 (37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 97.78%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7.17 / $3.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.12 / $4.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.27%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Related Forecasts