US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish64%
Monthly Downside probability 64%Bearish

NIO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $5.39 and stabilize above resistance $9.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.3, MACD 0.093

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.4 (37.99%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4.82Bearish
EMA 21$5.39Bearish
EMA 50$8.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.3 · MACD 0.093

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.4 · BB 90.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 62.2 · OBV -19.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$3.02 - $9.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+197.34% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$10.97
Nearest resistance

+159.35% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$9.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.69
Nearest support

-18.16% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.02
Deeper support zone

-56.15% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$1.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$2.29 - $5.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 22.5 / 21.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.5735Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.4 / $13.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.4 (37.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.66%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7.54 / $3.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.29 / $5.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.093Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.7 / 18.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 22.5 / 21.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.5735Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.4 / $13.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.093Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.7 / 18.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.4 (37.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.66%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7.54 / $3.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.29 / $5.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Related Forecasts