US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

NIO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4.98 and stabilize above resistance $8.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $8.02 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.2, MACD -0.058

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.15 (37.58%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4.12Bearish
EMA 21$4.98Bearish
EMA 50$8.23Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.2 · MACD -0.058

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.15 · BB 103.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.4 · OBV -38.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.02 - $8.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+200.53% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$9.17
Nearest resistance

+162.95% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$8.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.05
Nearest support

-0.98% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.02
Deeper support zone

-38.56% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$1.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1.9 - $4.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.4 / 11.5 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.1915Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.27 / $12.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.15 (37.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 103.36%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6.93 / $2.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.9 / $4.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.058Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.6 / 0.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7, invalidation $4.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.4 / 11.5 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.1915Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.27 / $12.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.058Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.6 / 0.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.15 (37.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 103.36%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6.93 / $2.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.9 / $4.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Related Forecasts