US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish90%
Weekly Downside probability 90%Bearish

NIO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $5.34 and stabilize above resistance $7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.0, MACD -0.108

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.6061 (11.95%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$5.1Bearish
EMA 21$5.34Bearish
EMA 50$5.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.0 · MACD -0.108

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6061 · BB 43.43%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.7 · OBV -4.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$4.38 - $7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+50.02% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$7.61
Nearest resistance

+38.07% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5.07
Nearest support

-13.61% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$4.38
Deeper support zone

-25.56% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$3.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4.46 - $5.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.66, invalidation $6.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 15.9 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.58 / $6.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.6061 (11.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 43.43%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6.48 / $4.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.46 / $5.68Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.108Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.5 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.66, invalidation $6.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 15.9 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.58 / $6.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.108Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.5 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.6061 (11.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 43.43%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6.48 / $4.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.46 / $5.68Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4.38Range

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