US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish88%
Weekly Downside probability 88%Bearish

NIO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $3.96 and stabilize above resistance $7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.7, MACD -0.056

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.2938 (9.63%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3.4Bearish
EMA 21$3.96Bearish
EMA 50$4.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.7 · MACD -0.056

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2938 · BB 63.54%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 15.0 · OBV -11.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.02 - $7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+139.14% · 14.4 ATR above latest close

$7.29
Nearest resistance

+129.51% · 13.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.05
Nearest support

-0.98% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.02
Deeper support zone

-10.62% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$2.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$2.76 - $3.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.47, invalidation $5.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

78.2 / 0.0 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4.03 / $5.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.2938 (9.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.54%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4.45 / $3.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.76 / $3.34Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.056Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.7 / 6.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.47, invalidation $5.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

78.2 / 0.0 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4.03 / $5.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.056Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.7 / 6.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.2938 (9.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.54%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4.45 / $3.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.76 / $3.34Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.02Range

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