US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

NIO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4.78 and stabilize above resistance $7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.8, MACD -0.131

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.3953 (10.71%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4.3Bearish
EMA 21$4.78Bearish
EMA 50$5.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.8 · MACD -0.131

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3953 · BB 50.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 16.3 · OBV -12.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.57 - $7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+100.41% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$7.4
Nearest resistance

+89.7% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.69
Nearest support

-3.25% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.57
Deeper support zone

-13.96% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$3.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3.29 - $4.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.47, invalidation $5.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.2 / 2.3 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4.84 / $5.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.3953 (10.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.09%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5.53 / $3.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.29 / $4.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.131Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.0 / 4.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-171.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.47, invalidation $5.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.2 / 2.3 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4.84 / $5.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.131Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.0 / 4.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-171.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.3953 (10.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.09%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5.53 / $3.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.29 / $4.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.57Range

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