US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish62%
Weekly Downside probability 62%Bearish

NIO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $5.51 and stabilize above resistance $7.53.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $7.53 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.0, MACD -0.104

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.6650 (13.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$5.37Bearish
EMA 21$5.51Bearish
EMA 50$5.43Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD -0.104

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6650 · BB 41.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.7 · OBV -15.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$4.38 - $7.53

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+60.84% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$8.2
Nearest resistance

+47.79% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$7.53
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5.1
Nearest support

-14.03% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$4.38
Deeper support zone

-27.09% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$3.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4.43 - $5.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.27, invalidation $5.13

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.1 / 20.5 / 22.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.73 / $5.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.6650 (13.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.25%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6.79 / $4.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.43 / $5.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.104Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 11.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.27, invalidation $5.13

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.1 / 20.5 / 22.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5.73 / $5.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.104Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 11.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.6650 (13.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.25%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6.79 / $4.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.43 / $5.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4.38Range

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