US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

NIO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4.21 and stabilize above resistance $7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.3, MACD -0.092

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.3224 (9.75%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3.64Bearish
EMA 21$4.21Bearish
EMA 50$4.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.3 · MACD -0.092

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3224 · BB 58.62%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 13.5 · OBV -13.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.24 - $7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+121.56% · 12.5 ATR above latest close

$7.32
Nearest resistance

+111.8% · 11.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.31
Nearest support

-1.97% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.24
Deeper support zone

-11.72% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$2.92
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$2.98 - $3.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.47, invalidation $5.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

64.9 / 0.0 / 37.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4.42 / $5.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.3224 (9.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.62%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4.75 / $3.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.98 / $3.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.092Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 6.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.47, invalidation $5.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

64.9 / 0.0 / 37.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4.42 / $5.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.092Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 6.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.3224 (9.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.62%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4.75 / $3.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.98 / $3.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.24Range

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