US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

NIO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4.47 and stabilize above resistance $7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.7, MACD -0.137

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.3542 (10.51%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3.89Bearish
EMA 21$4.47Bearish
EMA 50$4.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.7 · MACD -0.137

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3542 · BB 54.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 17.9 · OBV -14.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.37 - $7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+118.23% · 11.2 ATR above latest close

$7.35
Nearest resistance

+107.72% · 10.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.37
Nearest support

+0% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.37
Deeper support zone

-10.51% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$3.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3.02 - $3.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.47, invalidation $5.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.6 / 2.6 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4.66 / $5.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.3542 (10.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.50%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5.09 / $3.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.02 / $3.72Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.137Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 2.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4.47, invalidation $5.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.6 / 2.6 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4.66 / $5.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.137Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 2.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.3542 (10.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.50%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5.09 / $3.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.02 / $3.72Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.37Range

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