US stock / ETF

NIO Inc.

NIO · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

NIO 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $3.9 and stabilize above resistance $4.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.9, MACD -0.004

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.1064 (2.88%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3.71Bearish
EMA 21$3.9Bearish
EMA 50$4.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.9 · MACD -0.004

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1064 · BB 25.85%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.1 · OBV -10.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3.57 - $4.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.82% · 10.0 ATR above latest close

$4.77
Nearest resistance

+25.95% · 9.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3.7
Nearest support

-3.52% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3.57
Deeper support zone

-6.4% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$3.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3.59 - $3.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.57, invalidation $3.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.8 / 8.7 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.87 / $4.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.1064 (2.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.85%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4.09 / $3.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.59 / $3.81Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.004Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.6 / 15.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

neutral 0Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.58xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3.57, invalidation $3.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.8 / 8.7 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3.87 / $4.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.004Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.6 / 15.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

neutral 0Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.1064 (2.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.85%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4.09 / $3.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3.59 / $3.81Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.58xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.57Range

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