US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $108.23 and stabilize above resistance $114.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $114.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.2, MACD -0.760

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.75 (1.68%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$106.34Bearish
EMA 21$108.23Bearish
EMA 50$107.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.2 · MACD -0.760

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.75 · BB 10.49%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 12.7 · OBV -17.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$104.07 - $114.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.73% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$116.44
Nearest resistance

+10.05% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$114.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$104.21
Nearest support

-0.14% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.07
Deeper support zone

-1.82% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$102.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$102.46 - $105.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105.98, invalidation $107.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.8 / 3.9 / 49.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.35 / $109.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.75 (1.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.49%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.31 / $105.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.46 / $105.96Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$114.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.760Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.5 / 3.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-147.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105.98, invalidation $107.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.8 / 3.9 / 49.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.35 / $109.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.760Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.5 / 3.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-147.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.75 (1.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.49%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.31 / $105.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.46 / $105.96Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$114.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.07Range

Related Forecasts