US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $97.02 and stabilize above resistance $104.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $104.24 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.8, MACD -0.257

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.22 (1.29%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$95.37Bearish
EMA 21$97.02Bearish
EMA 50$99.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.8 · MACD -0.257

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.22 · BB 8.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.4 · OBV -25.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$93.68 - $104.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.64% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$105.46
Nearest resistance

+10.35% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$104.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.46
Nearest support

-0.83% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.68
Deeper support zone

-2.11% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$92.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.24 - $95.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.68, invalidation $96.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.9 / 17.4 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.39 / $98.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.22 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.73%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$99.38 / $94.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.24 / $95.68Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.257Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 9.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.68, invalidation $96.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.9 / 17.4 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.39 / $98.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.257Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 9.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.22 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.73%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$99.38 / $94.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.24 / $95.68Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.68Range

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