US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $137.13 and stabilize above resistance $225.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $225.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.6, MACD 0.247

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.99 (11.06%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$120.8Bearish
EMA 21$137.13Bearish
EMA 50$171.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.6 · MACD 0.247

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.99 · BB 57.57%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.9 · OBV -2.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$104.44 - $225.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+103.5% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$238.97
Nearest resistance

+92.44% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$225.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$117.43
Nearest support

-11.06% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.44
Deeper support zone

-22.12% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$91.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$104.44 - $130.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $136.14

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.1 / 7.2 / 35.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.58 / $167.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.99 (11.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.57%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$159.49 / $112.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.44 / $130.42Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$225.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.247Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.8 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $136.14

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.1 / 7.2 / 35.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.58 / $167.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.247Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.8 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.99 (11.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.57%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$159.49 / $112.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.44 / $130.42Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$225.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

Related Forecasts