US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish63%
3M Downside probability 63%Bearish

LULU 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $256.45 and stabilize above resistance $516.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $516.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 41.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $94.24 (77.84%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$193.25Bearish
EMA 21$256.45Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.6 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $94.24 · BB 137.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.7 · OBV -134.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$104.44 - $516.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+404.36% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$610.63
Nearest resistance

+326.52% · 4.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$516.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$121.07
Nearest support

-13.74% · 0.2 ATR below · 29-bar low

$104.44
Deeper support zone

-91.58% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$10.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$26.83 - $215.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $423.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.4 / 20.1 / 25.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$157.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$287.15 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$94.24 (77.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 137.98%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$436.94 / $67.73Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.83 / $215.31Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 3.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-134.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $423.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.4 / 20.1 / 25.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$157.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$287.15 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 3.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$94.24 (77.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 137.98%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$436.94 / $67.73Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.83 / $215.31Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-134.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

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