US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $198.12 and stabilize above resistance $516.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $516.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.2, MACD -5.579

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $31.71 (26.19%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$142.05Bearish
EMA 21$198.12Bearish
EMA 50$256.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.2 · MACD -5.579

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $31.71 · BB 156.20%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.5 · OBV -191.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$104.44 - $516.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+352.71% · 13.5 ATR above latest close

$548.1
Nearest resistance

+326.52% · 12.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$516.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$121.07
Nearest support

-13.74% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.44
Deeper support zone

-39.93% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$72.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$89.36 - $152.78

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.3 / 10.4 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$32.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.55 / $310.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.71 (26.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 156.20%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.93 / $135.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.36 / $152.78Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.579Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 7.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-191.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.3 / 10.4 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$32.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.55 / $310.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.579Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 7.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.71 (26.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 156.20%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.93 / $135.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.36 / $152.78Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-191.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

Related Forecasts