US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $174.35 and stabilize above resistance $480.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $480.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.6, MACD -2.413

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $27.27 (26.1%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$121.38Bearish
EMA 21$174.35Bearish
EMA 50$239.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.6 · MACD -2.413

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $27.27 · BB 133.63%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.3 · OBV -356.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$90.38 - $480.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+386.51% · 14.8 ATR above latest close

$508.21
Nearest resistance

+360.41% · 13.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$480.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$104.46
Nearest support

-13.48% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$90.38
Deeper support zone

-39.58% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$63.11
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.19 - $131.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 12.9 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.87 / $303.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.27 (26.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 133.63%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.1 / $123.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.19 / $131.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$480.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.413Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.4 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-356.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 12.9 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.87 / $303.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.413Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.4 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.27 (26.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 133.63%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.1 / $123.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.19 / $131.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-356.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$480.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.38Range

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