US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $180.59 and stabilize above resistance $508.92.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $508.92 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.1, MACD -4.408

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $29.35 (29.64%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$124.38Bearish
EMA 21$180.59Bearish
EMA 50$244.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.1 · MACD -4.408

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $29.35 · BB 134.85%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.3 · OBV -266.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$90.38 - $508.92

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+443.65% · 15.0 ATR above latest close

$538.27
Nearest resistance

+414.01% · 14.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$508.92
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$99.01
Nearest support

-8.72% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$90.38
Deeper support zone

-38.36% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$61.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$69.66 - $128.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.5 / 11.3 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$199.14 / $303.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.35 (29.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 134.85%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229.82 / $123.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.66 / $128.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$508.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.408Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.4 / 5.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-266.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.5 / 11.3 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$199.14 / $303.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.408Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.4 / 5.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.35 (29.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 134.85%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229.82 / $123.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.66 / $128.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-266.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$508.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.38Range

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