US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $189 and stabilize above resistance $516.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $516.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.7, MACD -5.277

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $29.92 (30.23%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$132.25Bearish
EMA 21$189Bearish
EMA 50$250.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.7 · MACD -5.277

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $29.92 · BB 144.84%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 23.8 · OBV -234.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$95.67 - $516.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+452% · 14.9 ATR above latest close

$546.31
Nearest resistance

+421.76% · 13.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$516.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.97
Nearest support

-3.33% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.67
Deeper support zone

-33.57% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$65.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$69.05 - $128.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.5 / 11.0 / 32.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$207.97 / $306.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.92 (30.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 144.84%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$244.87 / $125.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.05 / $128.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.277Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.5 / 6.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-234.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.5 / 11.0 / 32.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$207.97 / $306.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.277Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.5 / 6.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.92 (30.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 144.84%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$244.87 / $125.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.05 / $128.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-234.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.67Range

Related Forecasts