US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $214.15 and stabilize above resistance $516.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $516.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.3, MACD -8.284

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $42.35 (38.88%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$155.21Bearish
EMA 21$214.15Bearish
EMA 50$274.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.3 · MACD -8.284

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $42.35 · BB 149.89%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.9 · OBV -220.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$105.78 - $516.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+412.93% · 10.6 ATR above latest close

$558.74
Nearest resistance

+374.06% · 9.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$516.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$108.93
Nearest support

-2.89% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$105.78
Deeper support zone

-41.77% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$63.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$66.58 - $151.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.37, invalidation $225.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 13.7 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.02 / $311.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$42.35 (38.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 149.89%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$278.1 / $142.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$66.58 / $151.28Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.284Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 2.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-220.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.37, invalidation $225.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 13.7 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.02 / $311.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.284Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 2.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$42.35 (38.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 149.89%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$278.1 / $142.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$66.58 / $151.28Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-220.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.78Range

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