US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $198.38 and stabilize above resistance $516.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $516.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.8, MACD -5.392

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $31.09 (25.07%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$142.7Bearish
EMA 21$198.38Bearish
EMA 50$256.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.8 · MACD -5.392

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $31.09 · BB 155.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 20.7 · OBV -203.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$104.44 - $516.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+341.52% · 13.6 ATR above latest close

$547.48
Nearest resistance

+316.44% · 12.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$516.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$124
Nearest support

-15.77% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.44
Deeper support zone

-40.85% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$73.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$92.91 - $155.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.5 / 9.6 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$35.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.55 / $310.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.09 (25.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 155.79%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$252.47 / $137.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.91 / $155.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.392Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.2 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-203.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.44, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.5 / 9.6 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$35.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.55 / $310.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.392Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.2 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.09 (25.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 155.79%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$252.47 / $137.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.91 / $155.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-203.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

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