US stock / ETF

lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LULU 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $205.69 and stabilize above resistance $516.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $516.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.5, MACD -7.315

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.14 (33.33%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$147.72Bearish
EMA 21$205.69Bearish
EMA 50$262.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.5 · MACD -7.315

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $39.14 · BB 157.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 18.4 · OBV -231.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$104.44 - $516.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+373.07% · 11.2 ATR above latest close

$555.53
Nearest resistance

+339.74% · 10.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$516.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$117.43
Nearest support

-11.06% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.44
Deeper support zone

-44.39% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$65.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.29 - $156.57

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.25, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 7.2 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.55 / $310.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.14 (33.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 157.52%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$263.28 / $140.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.29 / $156.57Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.315Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 5.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-231.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.25, invalidation $225.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 7.2 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.55 / $310.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.315Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 5.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.14 (33.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 157.52%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$263.28 / $140.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.29 / $156.57Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-231.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$516.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.44Range

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