US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

HWM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $237.57 and stabilize above resistance $263.34.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $263.34 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 31.9, MACD 0.083

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.12 (1.79%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$230.92Bearish
EMA 21$237.57Bearish
EMA 50$249.13Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.9 · MACD 0.083

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.12 · BB 19.99%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.4 · OBV -62.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$226 - $263.34

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.12% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$267.46
Nearest resistance

+14.33% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$263.34
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$230.33
Nearest support

-1.88% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$226
Deeper support zone

-3.67% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$221.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$226.21 - $234.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $237.18, invalidation $227.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.1 / 10.9 / 38.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$237.51 / $248.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.12 (1.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.99%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$242.48 / $231.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$226.21 / $234.44Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$263.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$226Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.083Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.7 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-62.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $237.18, invalidation $227.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.1 / 10.9 / 38.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$237.51 / $248.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.083Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.7 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.12 (1.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.99%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$242.48 / $231.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$226.21 / $234.44Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-62.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$263.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$226Range

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