US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

HWM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $281.05 and stabilize above resistance $295.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $295 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.7, MACD -1.830

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.55 (1.67%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$276.08Bearish
EMA 21$281.05Bearish
EMA 50$283.25Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.7 · MACD -1.830

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.55 · BB 10.16%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 17.1 · OBV -14.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$271.23 - $295

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.26% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$299.55
Nearest resistance

+8.58% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$295
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$271.68
Nearest support

-0.17% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$271.23
Deeper support zone

-1.84% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$266.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$267.13 - $276.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $295, invalidation $271.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 14.5 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$258.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$281.09 / $290.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.55 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.16%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$289.59 / $272.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$267.13 / $276.23Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$295Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$271.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.830Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 2.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.80xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $295, invalidation $271.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 14.5 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$258.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$281.09 / $290.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.830Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 2.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.55 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.16%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$289.59 / $272.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$267.13 / $276.23Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.80xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$295Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$271.23Range

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