US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

HWM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $205.08 and stabilize above resistance $224.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $224.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 25.6, MACD -2.378

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.7 (3.07%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$195.53Bearish
EMA 21$205.08Bearish
EMA 50$213.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 25.6 · MACD -2.378

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.7 · BB 22.83%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.3 · OBV -15.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$184.73 - $224.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.43% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$230.69
Nearest resistance

+21.36% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$224.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$185.39
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$184.73
Deeper support zone

-3.43% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$179.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$179.69 - $191.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.71, invalidation $199

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.4 / 9.5 / 68.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$168.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$202.1 / $208.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.7 (3.07%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.83%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$216.26 / $192.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$179.69 / $191.09Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$224.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.378Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 12.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.71, invalidation $199

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.4 / 9.5 / 68.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$168.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$202.1 / $208.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.378Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 12.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.7 (3.07%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.83%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$216.26 / $192.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$179.69 / $191.09Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$224.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

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