US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish58%
4h Upside probability 58%Bullish

HWM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $266.44 and reclaim $280.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $266.44 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.4, MACD 0.063

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.79 (1.39%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$274.64Bearish
EMA 21$273.89Bearish
EMA 50$272.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.4 · MACD 0.063

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.79 · BB 3.74%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 48.1 · OBV -30.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$266.44 - $280.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.42% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$284.29
Nearest resistance

+3.03% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$280.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$272.26
Nearest support

-2.14% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$266.44
Deeper support zone

-3.53% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$262.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$268.47 - $276.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $278, invalidation $268.95

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 25.8 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$262.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$274.54 / $270.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.79 (1.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.74%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$281.04 / $266.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$268.47 / $276.05Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$280.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.063Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.4 / 56.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-29.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $278, invalidation $268.95

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 25.8 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$262.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$274.54 / $270.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.063Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.4 / 56.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-29.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.79 (1.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.74%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$281.04 / $266.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$268.47 / $276.05Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$280.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.44Range

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