US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish64%
1h Downside probability 64%Bearish

HWM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $274.69 and stabilize above resistance $279.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $279.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -0.330

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.23 (0.82%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$274.92Bearish
EMA 21$274.69Bearish
EMA 50$273.83Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -0.330

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.23 · BB 3.42%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.5 · OBV -101.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$267.13 - $279.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.65% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$282.21
Nearest resistance

+2.84% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$279.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$272.26
Nearest support

-1.88% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$267.13
Deeper support zone

-2.7% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$264.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$270.03 - $274.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $279.98, invalidation $270.54

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.7 / 10.9 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$267.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$275.27 / $273.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.23 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.42%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$278.35 / $271.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$270.03 / $274.49Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$267.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.330Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.8 / 28.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-101.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $279.98, invalidation $270.54

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.7 / 10.9 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$267.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$275.27 / $273.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.330Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.8 / 28.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.23 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.42%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$278.35 / $271.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$270.03 / $274.49Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-101.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$267.13Range

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