US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish54%
1h Downside probability 54%Bearish

HWM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $222.64 and stabilize above resistance $226.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $226.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 54.3, MACD -0.484

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.34 (0.6%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$223.51Bearish
EMA 21$222.64Bullish
EMA 50$219.19Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.3 · MACD -0.484

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.34 · BB 2.13%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 9.8 · OBV -11.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$212.1 - $226.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$227.56
Nearest resistance

+1.39% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$226.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$223.11
Nearest support

-4.93% · 8.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$212.1
Deeper support zone

-5.54% · 9.2 ATR below latest close

$210.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.77 - $224.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $220.85, invalidation $224.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 23.5 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$222.26 / $214.16Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.34 (0.6%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.13%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.01 / $219.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.77 / $224.45Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$212.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.484Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.1 / 46.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

9.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $220.85, invalidation $224.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 23.5 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$222.26 / $214.16Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.484Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.1 / 46.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.34 (0.6%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.13%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.01 / $219.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.77 / $224.45Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

9.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$212.1Range

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