US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

HWM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $194.36 and stabilize above resistance $214.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $214 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.6, MACD -0.396

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.66 (1.44%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$188.64Bearish
EMA 21$194.36Bearish
EMA 50$202.71Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.6 · MACD -0.396

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.66 · BB 13.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.0 · OBV -2.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$184.73 - $214

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.87% · 11.8 ATR above latest close

$216.66
Nearest resistance

+15.43% · 10.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$214
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$185.39
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$184.73
Deeper support zone

-1.79% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$182.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$182.73 - $188.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $199, invalidation $184.73

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.5 / 22.9 / 45.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$177.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.6 / $203.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.66 (1.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.25%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$199.71 / $188.21Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$182.73 / $188.05Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.396Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.6 / 11.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $199, invalidation $184.73

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.5 / 22.9 / 45.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$177.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.6 / $203.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.396Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.6 / 11.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.66 (1.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.25%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$199.71 / $188.21Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$182.73 / $188.05Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

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