US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish90%
12h Downside probability 90%Bearish

HWM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $284.21 and stabilize above resistance $309.33.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $309.33 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.6, MACD -1.883

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.97 (2.2%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$281.27Bearish
EMA 21$284.21Bearish
EMA 50$282.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.6 · MACD -1.883

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.97 · BB 9.65%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.8 · OBV -6.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$271.23 - $309.33

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.06% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$315.3
Nearest resistance

+13.86% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$309.33
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$271.68
Nearest support

-0.17% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$271.23
Deeper support zone

-2.36% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$265.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$265.71 - $277.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $276.26, invalidation $295

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.3 / 21.2 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$254.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$286.7 / $287.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.97 (2.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.65%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$297.78 / $270.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$265.71 / $277.65Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$309.33Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$271.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.883Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 9.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-163.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.58xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $276.26, invalidation $295

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.3 / 21.2 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$254.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$286.7 / $287.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.883Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 9.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-163.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.97 (2.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.65%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$297.78 / $270.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$265.71 / $277.65Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.58xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$309.33Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$271.23Range

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