US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish90%
12h Downside probability 90%Bearish

HWM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $212.87 and stabilize above resistance $233.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 21.8, MACD -2.855

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.67 (3.6%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$203.3Bearish
EMA 21$212.87Bearish
EMA 50$223.23Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 21.8 · MACD -2.855

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.67 · BB 18.90%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.3 · OBV -40.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$184.73 - $233

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.28% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$239.67
Nearest resistance

+25.68% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$233
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$185.39
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$184.73
Deeper support zone

-3.95% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$178.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$178.72 - $192.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $212.26, invalidation $224.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.2 / 8.7 / 64.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$166.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.16 / $209.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.67 (3.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.90%

-23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$227.43 / $197.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$178.72 / $192.06Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

21.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.855Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-251.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-40.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.48xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $212.26, invalidation $224.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.2 / 8.7 / 64.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$166.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.16 / $209.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

21.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.855Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-251.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.67 (3.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.90%

-23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$227.43 / $197.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$178.72 / $192.06Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-40.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.48xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

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