US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish83%
Weekly Downside probability 83%Bearish

HWM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $234.64 and stabilize above resistance $310.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $310 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.8, MACD -5.961

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.55 (8.31%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$217.98Bullish
EMA 21$234.64Bearish
EMA 50$231.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.8 · MACD -5.961

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.55 · BB 50.43%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.7 · OBV -2.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$183.52 - $310

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+47.26% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$328.55
Nearest resistance

+38.94% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$310
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$223.11
Nearest support

-17.74% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$183.52
Deeper support zone

-26.06% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$164.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$204.56 - $241.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $310, invalidation $183.52

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.1 / 7.6 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$159.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$227.62 / $246.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.55 (8.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.43%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.93 / $195.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$204.56 / $241.66Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$183.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.961Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.0 / 22.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $310, invalidation $183.52

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.1 / 7.6 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$159.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$227.62 / $246.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.961Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.0 / 22.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.55 (8.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.43%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.93 / $195.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$204.56 / $241.66Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$183.52Range

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