US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish74%
Weekly Downside probability 74%Bearish

HWM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $242.7 and stabilize above resistance $310.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $310 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 26.6, MACD -9.460

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.8 (10.14%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$225.27Bearish
EMA 21$242.7Bearish
EMA 50$234.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 26.6 · MACD -9.460

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.8 · BB 42.84%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 18.8 · OBV -9.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$184.73 - $310

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+77.36% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$328.8
Nearest resistance

+67.22% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$310
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$185.39
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$184.73
Deeper support zone

-10.5% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$165.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$166.59 - $204.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $310, invalidation $223.03

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 11.9 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$150.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$237.66 / $247.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.8 (10.14%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.84%

-14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.33 / $207.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$166.59 / $204.19Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.460Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 5.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-170.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.60xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $310, invalidation $223.03

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 11.9 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$150.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$237.66 / $247.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.460Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 5.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-170.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.8 (10.14%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.84%

-14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.33 / $207.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$166.59 / $204.19Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.60xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

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