US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish59%
Weekly Downside probability 59%Bearish

HWM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $261.25 and stabilize above resistance $310.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $310 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.9, MACD -5.673

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.41 (8.89%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$261.93Bearish
EMA 21$261.25Bearish
EMA 50$238.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.9 · MACD -5.673

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.41 · BB 22.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.0 · OBV -4.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$204.55 - $310

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+43.9% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$330.41
Nearest resistance

+35.01% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$310
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$229.61
Nearest support

-10.91% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$204.55
Deeper support zone

-19.8% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$184.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$209.2 - $250.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $310, invalidation $243.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 23.0 / 22.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$176.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$266.7 / $246.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.41 (8.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.07%

-13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$301.62 / $222.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.2 / $250.02Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.673Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 19.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-187.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.36xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $310, invalidation $243.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 23.0 / 22.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$176.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$266.7 / $246.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.673Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 19.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-187.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.41 (8.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.07%

-13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$301.62 / $222.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.2 / $250.02Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.36xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.55Range

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