Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / TetherUS

ETHUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

ETHUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,411.5 and stabilize above resistance 2,526.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,526.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.0, MACD -5.109

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 31.81 (1.34%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 82,395.8Bearish
EMA 212,411.5Bearish
EMA 502,430Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.0 · MACD -5.109

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 31.81 · BB 6.34%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.9 · OBV -0.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
2,329 - 2,526.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.75% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

2,558.4
Nearest resistance

+6.41% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,526.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,374.5
Nearest support

-1.92% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

2,329
Deeper support zone

-3.26% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

2,297.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

2,342.7 - 2,406.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,417.8, invalidation 2,360.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.1 / 3.8 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,286.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,411.9 / 2,425.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

31.81 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.34%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,472.5 / 2,349.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,342.7 / 2,406.3Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,526.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,329Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.109Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 18.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,417.8, invalidation 2,360.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.1 / 3.8 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,286.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,411.9 / 2,425.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.109Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 18.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

31.81 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.34%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,472.5 / 2,349.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,342.7 / 2,406.3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,526.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,329Range

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