Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / TetherUS

ETHUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

ETHUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,046.6 and stabilize above resistance 2,246.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,246 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 20.4, MACD -7.660

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 36.97 (1.93%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 81,989.8Bearish
EMA 212,046.6Bearish
EMA 502,126.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 20.4 · MACD -7.660

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 36.97 · BB 9.71%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.5 · OBV -163.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
1,896 - 2,246

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.41% · 10.0 ATR above latest close

2,283
Nearest resistance

+17.47% · 9.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,246
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1,911.9
Nearest support

-0.84% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,896
Deeper support zone

-2.77% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

1,859
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,875 - 1,948.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1,983.8, invalidation 2,103.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.3 / 8.0 / 41.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,798.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,009.4 / 2,171.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

36.97 (1.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.71%

-16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,123.2 / 1,962.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,875 / 1,948.9Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,246Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,896Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

20.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.660Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.7 / 15.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-251.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-163.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1,983.8, invalidation 2,103.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.3 / 8.0 / 41.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,798.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,009.4 / 2,171.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

20.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.660Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.7 / 15.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-251.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

36.97 (1.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.71%

-16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,123.2 / 1,962.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,875 / 1,948.9Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-163.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,246Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,896Range

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