Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / TetherUS

ETHUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ETHUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,481.2 and stabilize above resistance 2,579.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,579.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 26.5, MACD -12.810

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 51.94 (2.2%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 82,442Bearish
EMA 212,481.2Bearish
EMA 502,525.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 26.5 · MACD -12.810

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 51.94 · BB 8.08%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.0 · OBV -17.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
2,318 - 2,579.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.54% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

2,631.8
Nearest resistance

+9.33% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,579.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,359.6
Nearest support

-1.76% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

2,318
Deeper support zone

-3.97% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

2,266.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

2,307.7 - 2,411.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,409.1, invalidation 2,530.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.3 / 4.4 / 41.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,236.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,436.6 / 2,521.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

51.94 (2.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.08%

-18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,570.8 / 2,387.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,307.7 / 2,411.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,579.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,318Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.810Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.9 / 16.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-240.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,409.1, invalidation 2,530.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.3 / 4.4 / 41.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,236.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,436.6 / 2,521.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.810Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.9 / 16.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-240.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

51.94 (2.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.08%

-18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,570.8 / 2,387.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,307.7 / 2,411.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,579.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,318Range

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