Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / TetherUS

ETHUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish67%
4h Downside probability 67%Bearish

ETHUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 1,868 and stabilize above resistance 1,937.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 1,937 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD 1.225

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 26.41 (1.42%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 81,861.2Bearish
EMA 211,868Bearish
EMA 501,879.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD 1.225

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 26.41 · BB 2.85%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.9 · OBV -0.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
1,822.1 - 1,937

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.54% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

1,963.4
Nearest resistance

+4.12% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

1,937
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1,860.4
Nearest support

-2.06% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,822.1
Deeper support zone

-3.48% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

1,795.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,834 - 1,886.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1,898.5, invalidation 1,828.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 25.1 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,788.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1,871.5 / 1,901.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

26.41 (1.42%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.85%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

1,918 / 1,816.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,834 / 1,886.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1,937Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,822.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.225Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.2 / 55.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-2.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1,898.5, invalidation 1,828.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 25.1 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,788.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1,871.5 / 1,901.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.225Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.2 / 55.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-2.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

26.41 (1.42%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.85%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

1,918 / 1,816.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,834 / 1,886.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1,937Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,822.1Range

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