Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / TetherUS

ETHUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ETHUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,679.8 and stabilize above resistance $1,779.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,779.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 22.6, MACD -11.860

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $34.83 (2.23%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,642.4Bearish
EMA 21$1,679.8Bearish
EMA 50$1,703.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 22.6 · MACD -11.860

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $34.83 · BB 11.60%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.1 · OBV -13.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,553 - $1,779.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.28% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$1,814.7
Nearest resistance

+14.05% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,779.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,560.7
Nearest support

-0.49% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,553
Deeper support zone

-2.73% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$1,518.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,525.8 - $1,595.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,635.7, invalidation $1,693.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 5.9 / 43.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,476.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,644.9 / $1,696.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$34.83 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.60%

-18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,756.5 / $1,599.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,525.8 / $1,595.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,779.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,553Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.860Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.4 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-195.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,635.7, invalidation $1,693.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 5.9 / 43.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,476.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,644.9 / $1,696.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.860Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.4 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-195.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$34.83 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.60%

-18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,756.5 / $1,599.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,525.8 / $1,595.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,779.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,553Range

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