Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / TetherUS

ETHUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish59%
Monthly Downside probability 59%Bearish

ETHUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $2,590.9 and stabilize above resistance $4,956.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,956.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.8, MACD -190.548

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $932.45 (55.93%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$2,279.9Bearish
EMA 21$2,590.9Bearish
EMA 50$2,461Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD -190.548

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $932.45 · BB 118.56%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.4 · OBV -50.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,385.1 - $4,956.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+253.26% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$5,889.2
Nearest resistance

+197.32% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4,956.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,667.1
Nearest support

-16.92% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,385.1
Deeper support zone

-72.85% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$452.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$734.68 - $2,599.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,956.8, invalidation $1,747.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.8 / 23.6 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$660.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3,150.6 / $2,919.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$932.45 (55.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 118.56%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,201.4 / $969.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$734.68 / $2,599.6Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,956.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,385.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-190.548Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.7 / 15.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,956.8, invalidation $1,747.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.8 / 23.6 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$660.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3,150.6 / $2,919.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-190.548Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.7 / 15.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$932.45 (55.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 118.56%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,201.4 / $969.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$734.68 / $2,599.6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,956.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,385.1Range

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