Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / TetherUS

ETHUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

ETHUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,516.4 and stabilize above resistance 4,956.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,956.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.6, MACD -48.938

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 725.97 (30.57%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 82,345Bullish
EMA 212,516.4Bearish
EMA 502,477.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD -48.938

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 725.97 · BB 121.76%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.1 · OBV -28.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
1,385.1 - 4,956.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+139.33% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

5,682.8
Nearest resistance

+108.75% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,956.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,374.5
Nearest support

-41.67% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,385.1
Deeper support zone

-72.24% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

659.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,648.5 - 3,100.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,956.8, invalidation 1,505.7

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.9 / 8.9 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

788.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,663.7 / 2,981.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

725.97 (30.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 121.76%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,681.6 / 1,336.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,648.5 / 3,100.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,956.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,385.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-48.938Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 29.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,956.8, invalidation 1,505.7

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.9 / 8.9 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

788.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,663.7 / 2,981.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-48.938Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 29.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

725.97 (30.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 121.76%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,681.6 / 1,336.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,648.5 / 3,100.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,956.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,385.1Range

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