Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / TetherUS

ETHUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish73%
Weekly Downside probability 73%Bearish

ETHUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,019.5 and stabilize above resistance 3,402.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 3,402.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.3, MACD 40.277

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 197.85 (10.63%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 81,866.1Bearish
EMA 212,019.5Bearish
EMA 502,383.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.3 · MACD 40.277

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 197.85 · BB 47.12%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV 6.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
1,505.7 - 3,402.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+93.55% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

3,600.7
Nearest resistance

+82.91% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

3,402.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1,860.4
Nearest support

-19.07% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,505.7
Deeper support zone

-29.7% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

1,307.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,662.6 - 2,058.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,464.9, invalidation 1,512

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.5 / 11.7 / 34.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,255.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1,866 / 3,231.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

197.85 (10.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.12%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,404.9 / 1,602.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,662.6 / 2,058.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

3,402.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,505.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

40.277Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.6 / 43.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,464.9, invalidation 1,512

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.5 / 11.7 / 34.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,255.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1,866 / 3,231.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

40.277Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.6 / 43.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

197.85 (10.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.12%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,404.9 / 1,602.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,662.6 / 2,058.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

3,402.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,505.7Range

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