US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish65%
4h Upside probability 65%Bullish

ERIE 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $208.44 and reclaim $234.11.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $208.44 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.7, MACD 0.843

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.86 (1.28%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$221.72Bullish
EMA 21$222.09Bullish
EMA 50$227.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD 0.843

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.86 · BB 2.46%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 77.4 · OBV 118.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$208.44 - $234.11

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.16% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$236.97
Nearest resistance

+4.88% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$234.11
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$223.22
Nearest support

-6.62% · 5.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$208.44
Deeper support zone

-7.9% · 6.2 ATR below latest close

$205.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$220.36 - $226.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $224.08, invalidation $208.44

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 25.5 / 49.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$214.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$216.59 / $229.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.86 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.46%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$227.53 / $216.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.36 / $226.08Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.843Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.5 / 90.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-5.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

129.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

118.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.48xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $224.08, invalidation $208.44

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 25.5 / 49.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$214.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$216.59 / $229.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.843Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.5 / 90.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-5.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

129.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.86 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.46%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$227.53 / $216.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.36 / $226.08Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

118.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.48xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.44Range

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