US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ERIE 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $234.12 and stabilize above resistance $260.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $260.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -0.733

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.65 (2.93%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$228.1Bearish
EMA 21$234.12Bearish
EMA 50$236.87Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -0.733

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.65 · BB 22.12%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.9 · OBV -10.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$208.87 - $260.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.42% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$266.9
Nearest resistance

+14.49% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$260.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$227.31
Nearest support

-8.11% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$208.87
Deeper support zone

-11.04% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$202.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$220.66 - $233.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $234.37, invalidation $225.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.4 / 32.0 / 48.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$228.72 / $234.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.65 (2.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.12%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$248.27 / $219.27Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.66 / $233.96Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$260.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.733Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.2 / 43.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.46xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $234.37, invalidation $225.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.4 / 32.0 / 48.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$228.72 / $234.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.733Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.2 / 43.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.65 (2.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.12%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$248.27 / $219.27Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.66 / $233.96Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.46xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$260.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.87Range

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