US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish84%
12h Downside probability 84%Bearish

ERIE 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $249.65 and stabilize above resistance $271.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $271.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.2, MACD 0.207

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.3 (1.75%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$248.39Bearish
EMA 21$249.65Bearish
EMA 50$249.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.2 · MACD 0.207

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.3 · BB 10.08%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.0 · OBV -3.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$235.95 - $271.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.29% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$275.77
Nearest resistance

+10.54% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$271.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$245.58
Nearest support

-3.92% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$235.95
Deeper support zone

-5.67% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$231.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$241.28 - $249.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $254, invalidation $235.95

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 22.1 / 59.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$234.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$248.74 / $251.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.3 (1.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.08%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$257.82 / $241.29Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$241.28 / $249.88Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$271.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$235.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.207Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.4 / 60.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $254, invalidation $235.95

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 22.1 / 59.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$234.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$248.74 / $251.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.207Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.4 / 60.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.3 (1.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.08%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$257.82 / $241.29Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$241.28 / $249.88Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$271.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$235.95Range

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