US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish63%
12h Downside probability 63%Bearish

ERIE 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $235.56 and stabilize above resistance $260.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $260.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.7, MACD -3.284

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $10.5 (4.62%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$233.76Bearish
EMA 21$235.56Bearish
EMA 50$233.52Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.7 · MACD -3.284

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.5 · BB 24.51%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 64.3 · OBV 15.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$204.63 - $260.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.11% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$270.75
Nearest resistance

+14.49% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$260.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$227.31
Nearest support

-9.98% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$204.63
Deeper support zone

-14.6% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$194.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$216.81 - $237.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $208.87, invalidation $258.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 20.3 / 32.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$196.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$234.56 / $232.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.5 (4.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.51%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$258.02 / $213.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.81 / $237.81Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$260.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.284Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.9 / 24.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

15.16%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $208.87, invalidation $258.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 20.3 / 32.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$196.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$234.56 / $232.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.284Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.9 / 24.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.5 (4.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.51%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$258.02 / $213.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.81 / $237.81Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

15.16%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$260.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

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