US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish80%
12h Downside probability 80%Bearish

ERIE 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $227.54 and stabilize above resistance $254.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $254 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 38.5, MACD 0.569

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.52 (2.47%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$222.01Bullish
EMA 21$227.54Bearish
EMA 50$235.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.5 · MACD 0.569

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.52 · BB 14.99%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.9 · OBV -14.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$208.44 - $254

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.26% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$259.52
Nearest resistance

+13.79% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$254
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$223.22
Nearest support

-6.62% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$208.44
Deeper support zone

-9.09% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$202.92
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$217.7 - $228.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $224.08, invalidation $218

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.1 / 16.3 / 39.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$206.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$223.74 / $239.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.52 (2.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.99%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$236.52 / $217.64Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.7 / $228.74Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$254Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.569Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.6 / 41.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $224.08, invalidation $218

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.1 / 16.3 / 39.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$206.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$223.74 / $239.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.569Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.6 / 41.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.52 (2.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.99%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$236.52 / $217.64Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.7 / $228.74Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$254Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.44Range

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