US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsRange49%
3M Range probability 98%Range

ERIE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $130.2 - $547 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $85.89 (38.48%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$271.87Bearish
EMA 21$268.1Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $85.89 · BB 124.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.4 · OBV -234.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$130.2 - $547

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+183.53% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$632.89
Nearest resistance

+145.05% · 3.8 ATR above · 30-bar high

$547
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$223.22
Nearest support

-41.67% · 1.1 ATR below · 30-bar low

$130.2
Deeper support zone

-80.15% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$44.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$137.33 - $309.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $547, invalidation $204.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.3 / 26.8 / 15.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$43.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$363.64 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$85.89 (38.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 124.03%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$447.57 / $101.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.33 / $309.11Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-234.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $547, invalidation $204.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.3 / 26.8 / 15.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$43.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$363.64 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$85.89 (38.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 124.03%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$447.57 / $101.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.33 / $309.11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-234.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.2Range

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