US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish61%
3M Upside probability 61%Bullish

ERIE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $130.2 and reclaim $547.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $130.2 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $87.36 (35.57%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$291.64Bearish
EMA 21$274.99Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.0 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $87.36 · BB 124.85%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.5 · OBV -168.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$130.2 - $547

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+158.31% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$634.36
Nearest resistance

+122.74% · 3.5 ATR above · 29-bar high

$547
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$245.58
Nearest support

-46.98% · 1.3 ATR below · 29-bar low

$130.2
Deeper support zone

-82.56% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$42.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$158.22 - $332.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $547, invalidation $204.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.2 / 26.4 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$36.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$360.58 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$87.36 (35.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 124.85%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$465.48 / $98.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$158.22 / $332.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.3 / 13.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-168.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $547, invalidation $204.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.2 / 26.4 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$36.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$360.58 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.3 / 13.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$87.36 (35.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 124.85%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$465.48 / $98.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$158.22 / $332.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-168.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.2Range

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