US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsRange49%
3M Range probability 98%Range

ERIE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $130.2 - $547 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $86.81 (38.19%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$287.58Bearish
EMA 21$273.33Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $86.81 · BB 126.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.7 · OBV -367.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$130.2 - $547

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+178.83% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$633.81
Nearest resistance

+140.64% · 3.7 ATR above · 29-bar high

$547
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$227.31
Nearest support

-42.72% · 1.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$130.2
Deeper support zone

-80.91% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$43.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$140.5 - $314.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $547, invalidation $204.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.1 / 25.9 / 16.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$38.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$360.58 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$86.81 (38.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 126.03%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$462.19 / $98.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$140.5 / $314.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.0 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-367.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $547, invalidation $204.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.1 / 25.9 / 16.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$38.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$360.58 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.0 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$86.81 (38.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 126.03%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$462.19 / $98.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$140.5 / $314.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-367.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.2Range

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