US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish59%
3M Downside probability 59%Bearish

ERIE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $277.08 and stabilize above resistance $545.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $545.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $83.39 (34.95%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$304.74Bearish
EMA 21$277.08Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $83.39 · BB 130.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 28.3 · OBV -247.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$159.37 - $545.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+163.67% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$629.16
Nearest resistance

+128.72% · 3.7 ATR above · 24-bar high

$545.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$238.62
Nearest support

-33.21% · 1.0 ATR below · 24-bar low

$159.37
Deeper support zone

-68.16% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$75.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$155.23 - $322.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $545.78, invalidation $199.88

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$43.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$83.39 (34.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 130.21%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$463.02 / $93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.23 / $322.01Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$545.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$159.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 17.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-247.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.56xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $545.78, invalidation $199.88

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$43.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 17.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$83.39 (34.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 130.21%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$463.02 / $93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.23 / $322.01Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-247.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.56xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$545.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$159.37Range

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