US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish78%
Monthly Downside probability 78%Bearish

ERIE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $295.7 and stabilize above resistance $547.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $547 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.0, MACD -14.752

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.18 (16.79%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$250.74Bearish
EMA 21$295.7Bearish
EMA 50$297.97Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.0 · MACD -14.752

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $38.18 · BB 85.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.9 · OBV -526.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$204.63 - $547

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+157.44% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$585.18
Nearest resistance

+140.64% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$547
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$227.31
Nearest support

-9.98% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$204.63
Deeper support zone

-26.77% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$166.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$189.13 - $265.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $380.67, invalidation $367

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.9 / 7.7 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$123.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$314.47 / $352.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.18 (16.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 85.04%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$367.95 / $219.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$189.13 / $265.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.752Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.9 / 11.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-526.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $380.67, invalidation $367

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.9 / 7.7 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$123.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$314.47 / $352.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.752Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.9 / 11.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.18 (16.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 85.04%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$367.95 / $219.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$189.13 / $265.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-526.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

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