US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ERIE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $280.89 and stabilize above resistance $547.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $547 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.3, MACD -8.149

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.05 (16.6%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$241.55Bearish
EMA 21$280.89Bearish
EMA 50$291.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.3 · MACD -8.149

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $37.05 · BB 79.78%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.9 · OBV -218.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$204.63 - $547

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+161.65% · 9.7 ATR above latest close

$584.05
Nearest resistance

+145.05% · 8.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$547
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$223.22
Nearest support

-8.33% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$204.63
Deeper support zone

-24.93% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$167.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$186.17 - $260.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $204.63, invalidation $270.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.4 / 8.0 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$312.24 / $367.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.05 (16.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.78%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$353.46 / $204.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$186.17 / $260.27Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.149Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 16.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-218.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $204.63, invalidation $270.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.4 / 8.0 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$312.24 / $367.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.149Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 16.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.05 (16.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.78%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$353.46 / $204.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$186.17 / $260.27Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-218.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

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