US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish73%
Monthly Downside probability 73%Bearish

ERIE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $302.53 and stabilize above resistance $545.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $545.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.3, MACD -16.727

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34.94 (14.64%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$257.13Bearish
EMA 21$302.53Bearish
EMA 50$292.71Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.3 · MACD -16.727

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $34.94 · BB 84.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 20.4 · OBV -3831.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$205.24 - $545.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+143.36% · 9.8 ATR above latest close

$580.72
Nearest resistance

+128.72% · 8.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$545.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$238.62
Nearest support

-13.99% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$205.24
Deeper support zone

-28.63% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$170.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$203.68 - $273.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.91, invalidation $367.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.3 / 4.1 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$321.64 / $352.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.94 (14.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.50%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$370.52 / $231.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$203.68 / $273.56Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$545.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$205.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-16.727Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.1 / 7.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3831.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.91, invalidation $367.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.3 / 4.1 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$321.64 / $352.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-16.727Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.1 / 7.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.94 (14.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.50%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$370.52 / $231.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$203.68 / $273.56Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3831.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$545.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$205.24Range

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