US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ERIE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $289.06 and stabilize above resistance $547.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $547 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.0, MACD -7.811

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $36.97 (15.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$252.66Bearish
EMA 21$289.06Bearish
EMA 50$294.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.0 · MACD -7.811

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $36.97 · BB 81.60%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.9 · OBV -297.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$204.63 - $547

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+137.79% · 9.2 ATR above latest close

$583.97
Nearest resistance

+122.74% · 8.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$547
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$245.58
Nearest support

-16.67% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$204.63
Deeper support zone

-31.73% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$167.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$208.61 - $282.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $204.63, invalidation $380.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.5 / 9.5 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$312.24 / $354.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.97 (15.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 81.60%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$360.19 / $214.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.61 / $282.55Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.811Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.3 / 24.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-297.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $204.63, invalidation $380.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.5 / 9.5 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$312.24 / $354.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.811Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.3 / 24.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.97 (15.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 81.60%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$360.19 / $214.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.61 / $282.55Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-297.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$547Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

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