US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish63%
1h Downside probability 63%Bearish

ERIE 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $229.14 and stabilize above resistance $248.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $248.84 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.0, MACD 0.985

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.73 (1.2%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$228.39Bearish
EMA 21$229.14Bearish
EMA 50$234.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD 0.985

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.73 · BB 12.21%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.6 · OBV -5.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$208.87 - $248.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.67% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$251.57
Nearest resistance

+9.47% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$248.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$227.31
Nearest support

-8.11% · 6.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$208.87
Deeper support zone

-9.31% · 7.7 ATR below latest close

$206.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$224.58 - $230.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $234.37, invalidation $227.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.2 / 43.6 / 29.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$227.17 / $233.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.73 (1.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.21%

59%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$234.56 / $223.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$224.58 / $230.04Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.985Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.8 / 52.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

30.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.80xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $234.37, invalidation $227.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.2 / 43.6 / 29.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$227.17 / $233.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.985Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.8 / 52.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

30.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.73 (1.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.21%

59%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$234.56 / $223.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$224.58 / $230.04Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.80xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.87Range

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