US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

DIS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $103.61 and stabilize above resistance $106.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $106.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.9, MACD -0.288

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8166 (0.8%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$102.58Bearish
EMA 21$103.61Bearish
EMA 50$104.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.9 · MACD -0.288

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8166 · BB 6.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.3 · OBV -110.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$101.12 - $106.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.06% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$107.42
Nearest resistance

+4.26% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$106.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.24
Nearest support

-1.1% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.12
Deeper support zone

-1.89% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$100.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.42 - $103.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $106.6, invalidation $101.12

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 19.7 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.48 / $104.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8166 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.60%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.31 / $101.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.42 / $103.06Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$106.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.288Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.4 / 20.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-110.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.68xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $106.6, invalidation $101.12

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 19.7 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.48 / $104.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.288Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.4 / 20.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8166 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.60%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.31 / $101.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.42 / $103.06Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-110.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.68xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$106.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.12Range

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