US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish55%
1h Downside probability 55%Bearish

DIS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.78 and stabilize above resistance $104.52.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $104.52 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.4, MACD -0.224

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8271 (0.81%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$102.64Bearish
EMA 21$102.78Bearish
EMA 50$102.25Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.4 · MACD -0.224

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8271 · BB 3.00%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 61.3 · OBV -296.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$100.68 - $104.52

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.42% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$105.34
Nearest resistance

+2.61% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$104.52
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$101.86
Nearest support

-1.16% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.68
Deeper support zone

-1.98% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$99.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.03 - $102.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.52, invalidation $101.76

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.7 / 28.2 / 21.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.08 / $102.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8271 (0.81%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.00%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.32 / $101.26Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.03 / $102.69Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.224Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-296.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.52, invalidation $101.76

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.7 / 28.2 / 21.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.08 / $102.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.224Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8271 (0.81%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.00%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.32 / $101.26Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.03 / $102.69Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-296.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.68Range

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