US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsRange53%
3M Range probability 94%Range

DIS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $78.73 - $203.02 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.61 (20.05%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$105.35Bullish
EMA 21$113.06Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.5 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $21.61 · BB 67.40%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV -365.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$78.73 - $203.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+108.42% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$224.63
Nearest resistance

+88.37% · 4.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$203.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$107.78
Nearest support

-26.95% · 1.3 ATR below · 30-bar low

$78.73
Deeper support zone

-47% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$57.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$86.17 - $129.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.69, invalidation $92.19

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 16.6 / 20.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.64 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.61 (20.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.40%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.2 / $68.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.17 / $129.39Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$203.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.2 / 46.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-365.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.69, invalidation $92.19

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 16.6 / 20.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.64 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.2 / 46.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.61 (20.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.40%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.2 / $68.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.17 / $129.39Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-365.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$203.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.73Range

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