US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsRange53%
3M Range probability 94%Range

DIS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $78.73 - $203.02 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.82 (20.48%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$105.08Bullish
EMA 21$112.95Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.2 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $21.82 · BB 67.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.0 · OBV -360.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$78.73 - $203.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+111.02% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$224.84
Nearest resistance

+90.54% · 4.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$203.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.55
Nearest support

-26.11% · 1.3 ATR below · 30-bar low

$78.73
Deeper support zone

-46.59% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$56.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$84.73 - $128.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.69, invalidation $92.19

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 16.4 / 19.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$35.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.64 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.82 (20.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.41%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.67 / $67.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.73 / $128.37Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$203.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.5 / 45.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-360.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.69, invalidation $92.19

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 16.4 / 19.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$35.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.64 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.5 / 45.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.82 (20.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.41%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.67 / $67.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.73 / $128.37Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-360.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$203.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.73Range

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