US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish64%
3M Downside probability 64%Bearish

DIS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $111.97 and stabilize above resistance $203.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $203.02 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.79 (21.7%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$102.69Bearish
EMA 21$111.97Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.79 · BB 68.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.0 · OBV -390.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$78.73 - $203.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+133.6% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$223.81
Nearest resistance

+111.9% · 5.2 ATR above · 30-bar high

$203.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.81
Nearest support

-17.83% · 0.8 ATR below · 30-bar low

$78.73
Deeper support zone

-39.53% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$57.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$75.02 - $116.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.69, invalidation $92.19

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.6 / 17.2 / 20.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.64 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.79 (21.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 68.21%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$152.77 / $69.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.02 / $116.6Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$203.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.2 / 37.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-390.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.69, invalidation $92.19

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.6 / 17.2 / 20.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.64 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.2 / 37.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.79 (21.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 68.21%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$152.77 / $69.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.02 / $116.6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-390.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$203.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.73Range

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