US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

DIS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $98.37 and stabilize above resistance $105.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $105.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.5, MACD -0.209

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.12 (2.21%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$96.85Bearish
EMA 21$98.37Bearish
EMA 50$100.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.5 · MACD -0.209

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.12 · BB 10.61%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.6 · OBV -13.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$94.78 - $105.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.07% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$107.37
Nearest resistance

+9.85% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$105.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.81
Nearest support

-1.08% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$94.78
Deeper support zone

-3.29% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$92.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.69 - $97.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.78, invalidation $99.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.3 / 10.1 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.4 / $102.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.12 (2.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.61%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.18 / $94.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.69 / $97.93Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.209Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.78, invalidation $99.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.3 / 10.1 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.4 / $102.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.209Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.12 (2.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.61%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.18 / $94.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.69 / $97.93Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.78Range

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