US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish72%
Monthly Downside probability 72%Bearish

DIS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $104.55 and stabilize above resistance $124.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $124.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -1.639

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.28 (9.41%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$101.16Bearish
EMA 21$104.55Bearish
EMA 50$110.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -1.639

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.28 · BB 33.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.3 · OBV -68.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$80.1 - $124.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.84% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$133.97
Nearest resistance

+26.42% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$124.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.63
Nearest support

-18.79% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$80.1
Deeper support zone

-28.2% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$70.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$89.35 - $107.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.19, invalidation $110.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 5.1 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.25 / $102.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.28 (9.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.67%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.42 / $84.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.35 / $107.91Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.639Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.9 / 17.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-68.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.19, invalidation $110.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 5.1 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.25 / $102.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.639Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.9 / 17.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.28 (9.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.67%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.42 / $84.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.35 / $107.91Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-68.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.1Range

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