US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish56%
Monthly Downside probability 56%Bearish

DIS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.46 and stabilize above resistance $124.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $124.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.4, MACD -0.627

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.21 (9.58%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$103.89Bullish
EMA 21$105.46Bullish
EMA 50$110.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.4 · MACD -0.627

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $10.21 · BB 32.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.9 · OBV -76.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$80.1 - $124.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.61% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$134.9
Nearest resistance

+17.02% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$124.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.55
Nearest support

-24.82% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$80.1
Deeper support zone

-34.4% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$69.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.34 - $116.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.48, invalidation $92.49

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.9 / 12.9 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.25 / $102.61Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.21 (9.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.50%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.13 / $84.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.34 / $116.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.627Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.1 / 37.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-76.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.48, invalidation $92.49

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.9 / 12.9 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.25 / $102.61Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.627Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.1 / 37.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.21 (9.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.50%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.13 / $84.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.34 / $116.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-76.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.1Range

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