US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

DIS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.11 and stabilize above resistance $124.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $124.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.0, MACD -1.812

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.82 (10.25%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$101.8Bearish
EMA 21$105.11Bearish
EMA 50$111.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.0 · MACD -1.812

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.82 · BB 32.85%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.9 · OBV -54.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$78.73 - $124.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+40.4% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$134.51
Nearest resistance

+30.14% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$124.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.81
Nearest support

-17.83% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.73
Deeper support zone

-28.08% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$68.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$85.99 - $105.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.19, invalidation $110.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 13.0 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.52 / $109Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.82 (10.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.85%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.45 / $84.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.99 / $105.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.812Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 26.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.19, invalidation $110.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 13.0 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.52 / $109Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.812Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 26.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.82 (10.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.85%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.45 / $84.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.99 / $105.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.73Range

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