US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish82%
Monthly Downside probability 82%Bearish

DIS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.03 and stabilize above resistance $124.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $124.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.9, MACD -0.647

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.93 (9.72%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$103.23Bearish
EMA 21$105.03Bearish
EMA 50$110.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD -0.647

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.93 · BB 32.56%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV -66.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$80.1 - $124.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.74% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$134.62
Nearest resistance

+22.02% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$124.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.19
Nearest support

-21.62% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$80.1
Deeper support zone

-31.34% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$70.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$92.26 - $112.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.6, invalidation $92.49

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 13.2 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.14 / $102.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.93 (9.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.56%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.4 / $85.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.26 / $112.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.647Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.3 / 43.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-66.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.6, invalidation $92.49

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 13.2 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.14 / $102.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.647Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.3 / 43.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.93 (9.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.56%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.4 / $85.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.26 / $112.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-66.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.1Range

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