US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish72%
Monthly Downside probability 72%Bearish

DIS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106.73 and stabilize above resistance $124.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $124.62 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.3, MACD -1.008

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.98 (10.6%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.15Bearish
EMA 21$106.73Bearish
EMA 50$114.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.3 · MACD -1.008

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.98 · BB 30.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.5 · OBV -138.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$78.74 - $124.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.94% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$135.6
Nearest resistance

+20.34% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$124.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$103.56
Nearest support

-23.96% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.74
Deeper support zone

-34.56% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$67.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$92.58 - $114.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.62, invalidation $92.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.2 / 21.3 / 23.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.5 / $113.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.98 (10.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.09%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.3 / $86.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.58 / $114.53Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.74Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.008Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 47.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.8Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-138.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.62, invalidation $92.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.2 / 21.3 / 23.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.5 / $113.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.008Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 47.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.8Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.98 (10.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.09%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.3 / $86.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.58 / $114.53Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-138.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.74Range

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