US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish63%
Monthly Downside probability 63%Bearish

DIS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.38 and stabilize above resistance $124.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $124.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.1, MACD -1.055

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.99 (9.27%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$103.2Bullish
EMA 21$105.38Bullish
EMA 50$110.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.1 · MACD -1.055

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $9.99 · BB 32.69%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.0 · OBV -63.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$80.1 - $124.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.96% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$134.68
Nearest resistance

+15.69% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$124.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$107.78
Nearest support

-25.68% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$80.1
Deeper support zone

-34.95% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$70.11
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$97.79 - $117.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.19, invalidation $110.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 11.1 / 29.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.25 / $102.61Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.99 (9.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.69%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.26 / $83.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.79 / $117.77Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.055Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.1 / 26.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.19, invalidation $110.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 11.1 / 29.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.25 / $102.61Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.055Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.1 / 26.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.99 (9.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.69%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.26 / $83.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.79 / $117.77Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.1Range

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