US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

DIS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $101.52 and stabilize above resistance $116.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $116.03 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.2, MACD -0.353

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.02 (5.24%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$98.91Bearish
EMA 21$101.52Bearish
EMA 50$104.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.2 · MACD -0.353

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.02 · BB 14.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.4 · OBV 5.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$92.19 - $116.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.35% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$121.05
Nearest resistance

+21.1% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.81
Nearest support

-3.78% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$92.19
Deeper support zone

-9.03% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$87.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$90.79 - $100.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.53, invalidation $100.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 21.9 / 16.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$101.63 / $107.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.02 (5.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.41%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$109.87 / $92.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.79 / $100.83Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.353Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.6 / 16.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.53, invalidation $100.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 21.9 / 16.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$101.63 / $107.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.353Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.6 / 16.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.02 (5.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.41%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$109.87 / $92.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.79 / $100.83Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.19Range

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