US stock / ETF

The Walt Disney Company

DIS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

DIS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $100.45 and stabilize above resistance $116.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $116.03 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.0, MACD -0.150

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.94 (5.01%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$98.03Bullish
EMA 21$100.45Bearish
EMA 50$103.68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.0 · MACD -0.150

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.94 · BB 15.33%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.0 · OBV 8.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$92.19 - $116.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.65% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$120.97
Nearest resistance

+17.64% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.63
Nearest support

-6.53% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$92.19
Deeper support zone

-11.54% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$87.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.69 - $103.57

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.49, invalidation $104.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.4 / 14.4 / 18.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.08 / $105.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.94 (5.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.33%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$109.47 / $91.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.69 / $103.57Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.150Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.1 / 22.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.49, invalidation $104.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.4 / 14.4 / 18.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.08 / $105.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.150Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.1 / 22.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.94 (5.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.33%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$109.47 / $91.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.69 / $103.57Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.19Range

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