US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish58%
4h Downside probability 58%Bearish

CF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $125.92 and stabilize above resistance $132.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $132.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.6, MACD -0.662

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.2 (1.75%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$125.86Bearish
EMA 21$125.92Bearish
EMA 50$123.92Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.6 · MACD -0.662

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.2 · BB 6.98%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 60.9 · OBV 45.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$116.84 - $132.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.18% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$134.74
Nearest resistance

+5.44% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$132.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.71
Nearest support

-7.06% · 4.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$116.84
Deeper support zone

-8.8% · 5.0 ATR below latest close

$114.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$123.51 - $127.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.43, invalidation $128.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.7 / 12.2 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.66 / $123.19Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.2 (1.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.98%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.72 / $121.24Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.51 / $127.91Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$132.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$116.84Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.662Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.5 / 26.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

45.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.43, invalidation $128.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.7 / 12.2 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.66 / $123.19Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.662Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.5 / 26.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.2 (1.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.98%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.72 / $121.24Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.51 / $127.91Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

45.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$132.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$116.84Range

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