US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

CF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $116.83 and stabilize above resistance $128.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $128 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.6, MACD 0.052

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.68 (2.34%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$114.61Bearish
EMA 21$116.83Bearish
EMA 50$119.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.6 · MACD 0.052

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.68 · BB 13.42%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.7 · OBV -16.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$107.25 - $128

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.28% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$130.68
Nearest resistance

+11.94% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$128
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$114.35
Nearest support

-6.21% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$107.25
Deeper support zone

-8.55% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$104.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$111.67 - $117.03

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.73, invalidation $112.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.8 / 19.3 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.94 / $119.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.68 (2.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.42%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$123.09 / $110.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.67 / $117.03Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$128Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.052Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.1 / 64.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.73, invalidation $112.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.8 / 19.3 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.94 / $119.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.052Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.1 / 64.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.68 (2.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.42%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$123.09 / $110.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.67 / $117.03Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$128Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.25Range

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