US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish85%
4h Upside probability 85%Bullish

CF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $110.04 and reclaim $122.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $110.04 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 64.0, MACD 0.108

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.02 (1.66%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$120.14Bullish
EMA 21$118.73Bullish
EMA 50$115.87Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 64.0 · MACD 0.108

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.02 · BB 5.99%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 51.4 · OBV -1.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$110.04 - $122.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.78% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$124.8
Nearest resistance

+1.12% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$121.42
Nearest support

-9.37% · 5.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$110.04
Deeper support zone

-11.03% · 6.6 ATR below latest close

$108.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$119.4 - $123.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.78, invalidation $117.06

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.7 / 29.2 / 18.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$119.09 / $113.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.02 (1.66%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.99%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$122.99 / $114.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$119.4 / $123.44Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$110.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.108Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.2 / 84.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

101.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.78, invalidation $117.06

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.7 / 29.2 / 18.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$119.09 / $113.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.108Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.2 / 84.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

101.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.02 (1.66%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.99%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$122.99 / $114.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$119.4 / $123.44Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$110.04Range

Related Forecasts