US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish75%
4h Upside probability 75%Bullish

CF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $100.8 and reclaim $118.53.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $100.8 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 47.3, MACD 0.690

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.94 (1.83%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$104.46Bullish
EMA 21$105.59Bullish
EMA 50$109.96Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.3 · MACD 0.690

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.94 · BB 8.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.6 · OBV 7.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$100.8 - $118.53

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.93% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$120.47
Nearest resistance

+12.1% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$118.53
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.74
Nearest support

-4.67% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.8
Deeper support zone

-6.5% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$98.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$103.8 - $107.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.8, invalidation $103.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.8 / 25.3 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$101.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.28 / $114.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.94 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.62%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.53 / $102.35Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.8 / $107.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.690Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.2 / 59.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

43.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.8, invalidation $103.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.8 / 25.3 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$101.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.28 / $114.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.690Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.2 / 59.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

43.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.94 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.62%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.53 / $102.35Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.8 / $107.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.8Range

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