US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish59%
4h Downside probability 59%Bearish

CF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $133.68 and stabilize above resistance $141.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $141.68 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.4, MACD -0.057

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.54 (1.89%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$133.22Bullish
EMA 21$133.68Bullish
EMA 50$132.99Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.4 · MACD -0.057

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.54 · BB 4.78%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.6 · OBV -242.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$129.25 - $141.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.71% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$144.22
Nearest resistance

+5.81% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$141.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$133.9
Nearest support

-3.47% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$129.25
Deeper support zone

-5.36% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$126.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$131.36 - $136.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $130.09, invalidation $137.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.6 / 23.7 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$126.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$134.3 / $133.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.54 (1.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.78%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.75 / $128.56Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$131.36 / $136.43Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$129.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.0 / 40.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

17.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-242.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $130.09, invalidation $137.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.6 / 23.7 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$126.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$134.3 / $133.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.0 / 40.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

17.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.54 (1.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.78%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.75 / $128.56Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$131.36 / $136.43Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-242.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$129.25Range

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