US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish59%
1h Downside probability 59%Bearish

CF 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $115.74 and stabilize above resistance $118.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $118.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -0.220

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8643 (0.75%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$115.35Bearish
EMA 21$115.74Bearish
EMA 50$115.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -0.220

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8643 · BB 2.90%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 57.4 · OBV 4.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$114.28 - $118.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.41% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$119.02
Nearest resistance

+2.66% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$118.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.1
Nearest support

-0.71% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$114.28
Deeper support zone

-1.46% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$113.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$114.24 - $115.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.07, invalidation $114.33

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 29.5 / 26.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.22 / $115Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8643 (0.75%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.90%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.6 / $113.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.24 / $115.96Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.220Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 16.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.58%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.07, invalidation $114.33

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 29.5 / 26.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.22 / $115Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.220Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 16.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8643 (0.75%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.90%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.6 / $113.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.24 / $115.96Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.58%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.28Range

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