US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish64%
Weekly Downside probability 64%Bearish

CF 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $114.23 and stabilize above resistance $141.96.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $141.96 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.6, MACD -0.540

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.85 (8.62%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$117.69Bearish
EMA 21$114.23Bullish
EMA 50$105.49Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.6 · MACD -0.540

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.85 · BB 27.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.8 · OBV -19.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$75.87 - $141.96

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.76% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$151.81
Nearest resistance

+24.15% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$141.96
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$114.35
Nearest support

-33.65% · 3.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.87
Deeper support zone

-42.27% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$66.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$104.5 - $124.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.7, invalidation $130.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.0 / 16.9 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.22 / $108.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.85 (8.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.44%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$131.92 / $97.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.5 / $124.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.540Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.9 / 70.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.7, invalidation $130.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.0 / 16.9 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.22 / $108.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.540Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.9 / 70.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.85 (8.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.44%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$131.92 / $97.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.5 / $124.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.87Range

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