US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish81%
3M Upside probability 81%Bullish

CF 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $19.73 and reclaim $141.96.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $19.73 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.25 (19.29%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$103.04Bullish
EMA 21$84.5Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.6 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $24.25 · BB 73.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 69.7 · OBV -49.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.73 - $141.96

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.22% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$166.21
Nearest resistance

+12.93% · 0.7 ATR above · 29-bar high

$141.96
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.71
Nearest support

-84.31% · 4.4 ATR below · 29-bar low

$19.73
Deeper support zone

-103.6% · 5.4 ATR below latest close

-$4.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.46 - $149.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $141.96, invalidation $75.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.7 / 19.6 / 8.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$93.58 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.25 (19.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 73.21%

107%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$140.22 / $31.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.46 / $149.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.2 / 74.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

197.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $141.96, invalidation $75.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.7 / 19.6 / 8.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$93.58 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.2 / 74.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

197.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.25 (19.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 73.21%

107%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$140.22 / $31.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.46 / $149.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.73Range

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