US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish87%
12h Downside probability 87%Bearish

CF 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $108.86 and stabilize above resistance $130.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $130.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 41.0, MACD 0.033

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.6 (3.4%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.04Bullish
EMA 21$108.86Bearish
EMA 50$113.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.0 · MACD 0.033

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $3.6 · BB 16.66%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.4 · OBV -20.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$100.8 - $130.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.71% · 7.9 ATR above latest close

$133.99
Nearest resistance

+23.31% · 6.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$130.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.74
Nearest support

-4.67% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.8
Deeper support zone

-8.07% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$97.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$102.14 - $109.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.8, invalidation $108.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.6 / 16.2 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.41 / $115.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.6 (3.4%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.66%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$115.21 / $101.93Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.14 / $109.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.033Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.7 / 25.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-41.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.8, invalidation $108.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.6 / 16.2 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.41 / $115.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.033Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.7 / 25.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-41.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.6 (3.4%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.66%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$115.21 / $101.93Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.14 / $109.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.8Range

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