US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish81%
4h Upside probability 81%Bullish

AVB 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $176.49 and reclaim $190.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $176.49 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.7, MACD 0.902

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.05 (1.09%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$185.43Bullish
EMA 21$184.27Bullish
EMA 50$184Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.7 · MACD 0.902

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.05 · BB 7.04%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 45.4 · OBV -5.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$176.49 - $190.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.53% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$192.89
Nearest resistance

+1.44% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$190.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$188.13
Nearest support

-6.19% · 5.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$176.49
Deeper support zone

-7.28% · 6.7 ATR below latest close

$174.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$186.08 - $190.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $176.49, invalidation $187.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.4 / 37.0 / 27.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$182.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$183.17 / $183.67Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.05 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.04%

86%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.03 / $180.53Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$186.08 / $190.18Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$190.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.49Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.902Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.2 / 96.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

105.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $176.49, invalidation $187.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.4 / 37.0 / 27.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$182.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$183.17 / $183.67Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.902Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.2 / 96.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

105.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 9Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.05 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.04%

86%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.03 / $180.53Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$186.08 / $190.18Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$190.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.49Range

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