US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish69%
4h Upside probability 69%Bullish

AVB 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $187.17 and reclaim $198.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $187.17 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.2, MACD 0.002

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.81 (0.94%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$193.25Bearish
EMA 21$192.72Bearish
EMA 50$191.3Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.2 · MACD 0.002

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.81 · BB 3.44%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.1 · OBV -0.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$187.17 - $198.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.11% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$200.44
Nearest resistance

+3.17% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$198.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$192.53
Nearest support

-2.78% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$187.17
Deeper support zone

-3.72% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$185.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$190.72 - $194.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $196.97, invalidation $189.94

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.2 / 33.8 / 28.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$186.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$193.28 / $192.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.81 (0.94%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.44%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$196.58 / $188.95Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.72 / $194.34Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$187.17Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.002Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.9 / 49.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.61xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $196.97, invalidation $189.94

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.2 / 33.8 / 28.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$186.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$193.28 / $192.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.002Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.9 / 49.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.81 (0.94%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.44%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$196.58 / $188.95Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.72 / $194.34Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.61xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$187.17Range

Related Forecasts