US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish54%
4h Upside probability 54%Bullish

AVB 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $179.78 and reclaim $191.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $179.78 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.0, MACD 0.453

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.68 (0.91%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$183.7Bullish
EMA 21$184.11Bullish
EMA 50$185.96Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.0 · MACD 0.453

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.68 · BB 4.98%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 34.4 · OBV -10.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$179.78 - $191.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.6% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$193.37
Nearest resistance

+3.69% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$191.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$184.86
Nearest support

-2.75% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$179.78
Deeper support zone

-3.65% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$178.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$183.18 - $186.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.78, invalidation $185.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.5 / 28.8 / 26.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$178.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$184.22 / $186.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.68 (0.91%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.98%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.04 / $180.04Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$183.18 / $186.54Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$191.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$179.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.453Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.0 / 81.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

34.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.99xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.78, invalidation $185.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.5 / 28.8 / 26.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$178.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$184.22 / $186.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.453Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.0 / 81.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

34.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.68 (0.91%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.98%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.04 / $180.04Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$183.18 / $186.54Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.99xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$191.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$179.78Range

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