US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

AVB 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $186.57 and stabilize above resistance $198.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $198.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.5, MACD -0.565

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.27 (1.78%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$184.55Bearish
EMA 21$186.57Bearish
EMA 50$186.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.5 · MACD -0.565

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.27 · BB 6.92%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.6 · OBV -8.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$179.46 - $198.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.69% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$201.9
Nearest resistance

+7.92% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$198.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$184.06
Nearest support

-2.5% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$179.46
Deeper support zone

-4.28% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$176.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$180.79 - $187.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.46, invalidation $186

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 19.4 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$174.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$186.96 / $187.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.27 (1.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.92%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$193.19 / $179.77Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$180.79 / $187.33Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$179.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 36.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-81.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.72xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.46, invalidation $186

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 19.4 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$174.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$186.96 / $187.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 36.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-81.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.27 (1.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.92%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$193.19 / $179.77Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$180.79 / $187.33Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.72xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$179.46Range

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