US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish73%
Daily Downside probability 73%Bearish

AVB 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $189.06 and stabilize above resistance $198.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $198.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.2, MACD -0.540

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.99 (1.6%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$188.22Bearish
EMA 21$189.06Bearish
EMA 50$187.61Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.2 · MACD -0.540

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.99 · BB 5.27%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.4 · OBV -8.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$176.13 - $198.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.5% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$201.62
Nearest resistance

+5.91% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$198.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$187.55
Nearest support

-6.09% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$176.13
Deeper support zone

-7.68% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$173.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$184.56 - $190.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185.1, invalidation $192.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.0 / 21.5 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$177.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$190.42 / $187.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.99 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.27%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$195.06 / $183.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.56 / $190.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.540Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.2 / 28.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185.1, invalidation $192.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.0 / 21.5 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$177.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$190.42 / $187.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.540Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.2 / 28.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.99 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.27%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$195.06 / $183.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.56 / $190.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.13Range

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