US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish66%
Monthly Downside probability 66%Bearish

AVB 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $189.56 and stabilize above resistance $239.13.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $239.13 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -1.431

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.64 (7.7%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$183.19Bullish
EMA 21$189.56Bullish
EMA 50$193.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -1.431

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.64 · BB 39.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.2 · OBV -421.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$160.1 - $239.13

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.44% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$253.77
Nearest resistance

+25.75% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$239.13
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$190.17
Nearest support

-15.81% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$160.1
Deeper support zone

-23.51% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$145.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$175.53 - $204.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $160.1, invalidation $185.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.1 / 5.3 / 26.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$188.28 / $206.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.64 (7.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.59%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.14 / $160.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$175.53 / $204.81Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$160.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.431Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.0 / 43.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-421.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $160.1, invalidation $185.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.1 / 5.3 / 26.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$188.28 / $206.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.431Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.0 / 43.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.64 (7.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.59%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.14 / $160.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$175.53 / $204.81Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-421.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$160.1Range

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