US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish67%
Monthly Downside probability 67%Bearish

AVB 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $189.83 and stabilize above resistance $239.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $239.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.6, MACD -0.351

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $15.12 (7.86%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$185Bullish
EMA 21$189.83Bullish
EMA 50$193.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.6 · MACD -0.351

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $15.12 · BB 35.55%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.8 · OBV -108.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$160.1 - $239.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.14% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$254.41
Nearest resistance

+24.29% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$239.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$192.53
Nearest support

-16.85% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$160.1
Deeper support zone

-24.7% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$144.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$177.41 - $207.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $160.1, invalidation $186.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.3 / 10.7 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$147.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.53 / $205.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.12 (7.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.55%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$220.62 / $158.43Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$177.41 / $207.65Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$160.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.351Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.2 / 52.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-1.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-108.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $160.1, invalidation $186.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.3 / 10.7 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$147.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.53 / $205.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.351Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.2 / 52.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-1.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.12 (7.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.55%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$220.62 / $158.43Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$177.41 / $207.65Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-108.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$160.1Range

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