US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish56%
3M Downside probability 56%Bearish

AVB 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $191.18 and stabilize above resistance $259.05.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $259.05 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $27.65 (15.02%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$188.49Bearish
EMA 21$191.18Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $27.65 · BB 50.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.0 · OBV -175.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$118.17 - $259.05

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+55.77% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$286.7
Nearest resistance

+40.74% · 2.7 ATR above · 29-bar high

$259.05
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$184.06
Nearest support

-35.8% · 2.4 ATR below · 29-bar low

$118.17
Deeper support zone

-50.82% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$90.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$156.41 - $211.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.29, invalidation $160.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 19.6 / 17.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$105.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$197.18 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.65 (15.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.59%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$247.43 / $136.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$156.41 / $211.71Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.17Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 27.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-175.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.29, invalidation $160.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 19.6 / 17.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$105.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$197.18 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 27.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.65 (15.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.59%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$247.43 / $136.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$156.41 / $211.71Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-175.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.17Range

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