US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish58%
3M Upside probability 58%Bullish

AVB 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $118.17 and reclaim $259.05.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $118.17 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $26.99 (14.02%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$190.38Bullish
EMA 21$191.95Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $26.99 · BB 50.20%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.8 · OBV -157.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$118.17 - $259.05

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+48.57% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$286.04
Nearest resistance

+34.55% · 2.5 ATR above · 29-bar high

$259.05
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$192.53
Nearest support

-38.62% · 2.8 ATR below · 29-bar low

$118.17
Deeper support zone

-52.64% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$91.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$165.54 - $219.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.29, invalidation $160.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 20.0 / 17.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$197.18 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$26.99 (14.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.20%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$246.39 / $138.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$165.54 / $219.52Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.17Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.0 / 31.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-12.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-157.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.29, invalidation $160.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 20.0 / 17.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$197.18 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.0 / 31.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-12.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$26.99 (14.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.20%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$246.39 / $138.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$165.54 / $219.52Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-157.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.17Range

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