US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

3 monthsRange49%
3M Range probability 98%Range

AVB 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $131.38 - $258.91 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $27.76 (14.6%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$189.99Bullish
EMA 21$192.22Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $27.76 · BB 50.88%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.9 · OBV -112.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$131.38 - $258.91

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+50.74% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$286.67
Nearest resistance

+36.15% · 2.5 ATR above · 24-bar high

$258.91
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$190.17
Nearest support

-30.91% · 2.1 ATR below · 24-bar low

$131.38
Deeper support zone

-45.51% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$103.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$162.41 - $217.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.13, invalidation $160.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.76 (14.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.88%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$245.4 / $138.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.41 / $217.93Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$258.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$131.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 29.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-112.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.13, invalidation $160.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 29.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.76 (14.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.88%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$245.4 / $138.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.41 / $217.93Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-112.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$258.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$131.38Range

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