US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

AVB 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $160.1 and reclaim $198.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $160.1 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 58.4, MACD 2.033

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.47 (4.4%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$188.42Bullish
EMA 21$183.56Bullish
EMA 50$185.05Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 58.4 · MACD 2.033

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $8.47 · BB 22.53%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 69.9 · OBV 23.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$160.1 - $198.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.57% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$207.1
Nearest resistance

+3.17% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$198.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$192.53
Nearest support

-16.85% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$160.1
Deeper support zone

-21.25% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$151.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$184.06 - $201

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.89, invalidation $176.13

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 27.0 / 7.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$167.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$183.37 / $182.55Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.47 (4.4%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.53%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$200.78 / $166.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.06 / $201Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$160.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.033Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.3 / 86.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

112.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.82xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.89, invalidation $176.13

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 27.0 / 7.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$167.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$183.37 / $182.55Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.033Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.3 / 86.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

112.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.47 (4.4%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.53%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$200.78 / $166.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.06 / $201Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.82xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$160.1Range

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