US stock / ETF

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish78%
12h Downside probability 78%Bearish

AVB 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $185.81 and stabilize above resistance $193.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $193.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.2, MACD -0.443

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.49 (1.35%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$183.53Bullish
EMA 21$185.81Bearish
EMA 50$187.23Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD -0.443

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.49 · BB 7.51%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 49.0 · OBV -30.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$179.78 - $193.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.02% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$195.99
Nearest resistance

+4.67% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$193.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$184.86
Nearest support

-2.75% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$179.78
Deeper support zone

-4.1% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$177.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$182.37 - $187.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.78, invalidation $191.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 30.6 / 26.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$175.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$186.02 / $189.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.49 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.51%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$191.4 / $179.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$182.37 / $187.35Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$193.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$179.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.443Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.7 / 21.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.87xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.78, invalidation $191.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 30.6 / 26.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$175.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$186.02 / $189.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.443Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.7 / 21.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.49 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.51%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$191.4 / $179.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$182.37 / $187.35Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.87xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$193.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$179.78Range

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