Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6.3 and stabilize above resistance $6.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.1, MACD -0.005

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.1796 (2.94%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6.29Bearish
EMA 21$6.3Bearish
EMA 50$6.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.1 · MACD -0.005

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1796 · BB 6.40%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.4 · OBV -8.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$5.68 - $6.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.26% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$6.72
Nearest resistance

+7.31% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6.1
Nearest support

-6.84% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5.68
Deeper support zone

-9.78% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$5.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5.92 - $6.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.54, invalidation $6.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 19.1 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6.27 / $6.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.1796 (2.94%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.40%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6.7 / $5.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5.92 / $6.28Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.005Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.3 / 47.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.54, invalidation $6.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 19.1 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6.27 / $6.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.005Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.3 / 47.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.1796 (2.94%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.40%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6.7 / $5.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5.92 / $6.28Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5.68Range

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