Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 9.35 and stabilize above resistance 10.05.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 10.05 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.0, MACD -0.023

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 0.1958 (2.16%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 89.17Bearish
EMA 219.35Bearish
EMA 509.62Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.0 · MACD -0.023

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.1958 · BB 12.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 19.0 · OBV -17.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
8.86 - 10.05

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.13% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

10.25
Nearest resistance

+10.97% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

10.05
Current price

Price shown is delayed

9.06
Nearest support

-2.17% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

8.86
Deeper support zone

-4.34% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

8.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

8.86 - 9.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 9.06, invalidation 9.35

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 10.1 / 42.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

8.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

9.28 / 9.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.1958 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.28%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

9.67 / 9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

8.86 / 9.26Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

10.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

8.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.023Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 12.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 9.06, invalidation 9.35

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 10.1 / 42.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

8.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

9.28 / 9.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.023Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 12.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.1958 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.28%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

9.67 / 9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

8.86 / 9.26Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

10.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

8.86Range

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