Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish69%
4h Downside probability 69%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 10.09 and stabilize above resistance 11.12.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 11.12 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.9, MACD 0.021

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.2614 (2.6%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 89.96Bullish
EMA 2110.09Bearish
EMA 5010.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD 0.021

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 0.2614 · BB 10.38%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.8 · OBV -4.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
9.34 - 11.12

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.22% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

11.38
Nearest resistance

+10.62% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

11.12
Current price

Price shown is delayed

10.05
Nearest support

-7.08% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

9.34
Deeper support zone

-9.68% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

9.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

9.79 - 10.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 10.09, invalidation 9.47

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.8 / 14.2 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

9.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

9.97 / 10.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.2614 (2.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.38%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

10.68 / 9.48Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

9.79 / 10.31Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

11.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

9.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.021Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.8 / 66.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 10.09, invalidation 9.47

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.8 / 14.2 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

9.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

9.97 / 10.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.021Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.8 / 66.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.2614 (2.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.38%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

10.68 / 9.48Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

9.79 / 10.31Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

11.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

9.34Range

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