Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 7.49 and stabilize above resistance 8.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 8.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.2, MACD -0.004

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 0.1318 (1.79%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 87.39Bearish
EMA 217.49Bearish
EMA 507.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.2 · MACD -0.004

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.1318 · BB 5.17%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.1 · OBV -15.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
7.28 - 8.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.16% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

8.33
Nearest resistance

+11.37% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

8.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

7.36
Nearest support

-1.17% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

7.28
Deeper support zone

-2.96% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

7.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

7.23 - 7.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 7.46, invalidation 7.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 21.8 / 17.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

7.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

7.52 / 7.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.1318 (1.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.17%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

7.62 / 7.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

7.23 / 7.49Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

8.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

7.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.004Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 13.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 7.46, invalidation 7.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 21.8 / 17.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

7.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

7.52 / 7.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.004Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 13.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.1318 (1.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.17%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

7.62 / 7.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

7.23 / 7.49Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

8.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

7.28Range

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