Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 8.38 and stabilize above resistance 9.01.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 9.01 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -0.052

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.1987 (2.46%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 88.3Bearish
EMA 218.38Bearish
EMA 508.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -0.052

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.1987 · BB 8.02%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.4 · OBV -56.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
7.77 - 9.01

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.96% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

9.21
Nearest resistance

+11.5% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

9.01
Current price

Price shown is delayed

8.08
Nearest support

-3.85% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

7.77
Deeper support zone

-6.31% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

7.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

7.89 - 8.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 8.24, invalidation 8.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.9 / 15.5 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

7.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

8.38 / 8.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.1987 (2.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.02%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

8.79 / 7.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

7.89 / 8.28Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

9.01Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

7.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.052Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 19.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-165.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 8.24, invalidation 8.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.9 / 15.5 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

7.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

8.38 / 8.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.052Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 19.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-165.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.1987 (2.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.02%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

8.79 / 7.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

7.89 / 8.28Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

9.01Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

7.77Range

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