Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

3 monthsBearish63%
3M Downside probability 63%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 24.43 and stabilize above resistance 147.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 147 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 19.5 (241.19%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 814.32Bearish
EMA 2124.43Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.3 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 19.5 · BB 343.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.2 · OBV -54.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
2.75 - 147

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1,959.59% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

166.5
Nearest resistance

+1,718.41% · 7.1 ATR above · 25-bar high

147
Current price

Price shown is delayed

8.08
Nearest support

-65.98% · 0.3 ATR below · 25-bar low

2.75
Deeper support zone

-307.17% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

-16.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-11.41 - 27.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 12.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-36.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

19.5 (241.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 343.04%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

54.58 / -7.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-11.41 / 27.58Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

147Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 4.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 12.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-36.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 4.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

19.5 (241.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 343.04%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

54.58 / -7.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-11.41 / 27.58Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

147Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2.75Range

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