Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

3 monthsBearish63%
3M Downside probability 63%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $25.82 and stabilize above resistance $147.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $147 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.48 (315.89%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$17.4Bearish
EMA 21$25.82Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.3 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.48 · BB 354.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.3 · OBV -76.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$0.8500 - $147

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2,483.01% · 7.9 ATR above latest close

$167.48
Nearest resistance

+2,167.12% · 6.9 ATR above · 24-bar high

$147
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6.48
Nearest support

-86.89% · 0.3 ATR below · 24-bar low

$0.8500
Deeper support zone

-402.78% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

-$19.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-$14 - $26.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.66, invalidation $36.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$56.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.48 (315.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 354.02%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68.41 / -$17.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$14 / $26.97Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$147Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.8500Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 3.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-76.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.66, invalidation $36.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$56.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 3.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.48 (315.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 354.02%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68.41 / -$17.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$14 / $26.97Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-76.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$147Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.8500Range

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