Cryptocurrency

Toncoin / TetherUS

TONUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish81%
Daily Downside probability 81%Bearish

TONUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1.7 and stabilize above resistance $2.28.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $2.28 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.7, MACD -0.002

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.1173 (7.44%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1.64Bearish
EMA 21$1.7Bearish
EMA 50$1.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.7 · MACD -0.002

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1173 · BB 13.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.2 · OBV -3.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1.44 - $2.28

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.24% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$2.4
Nearest resistance

+44.8% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$2.28
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1.58
Nearest support

-8.44% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1.44
Deeper support zone

-15.88% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$1.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1.46 - $1.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1.83, invalidation $1.56

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 12.8 / 23.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1.77 / $2.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.1173 (7.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.50%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1.91 / $1.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.46 / $1.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.002Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 36.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.47xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1.83, invalidation $1.56

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 12.8 / 23.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1.77 / $2.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.002Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 36.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.1173 (7.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.50%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1.91 / $1.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.46 / $1.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.47xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.44Range

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