Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 8.12 and stabilize above resistance 14.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 14.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.7, MACD 0.218

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.9725 (14.79%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 86.8Bearish
EMA 218.12Bearish
EMA 5012.09Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.7 · MACD 0.218

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.9725 · BB 68.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.2 · OBV -12.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
5.68 - 14.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+142.17% · 9.6 ATR above latest close

15.92
Nearest resistance

+127.38% · 8.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

14.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

6.58
Nearest support

-13.6% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

5.68
Deeper support zone

-28.39% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

4.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

5.6 - 7.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 7.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.8 / 10.0 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

7.26 / 20.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.9725 (14.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 68.04%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

9.83 / 6.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

5.6 / 7.55Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

14.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.218Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 19.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 7.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.8 / 10.0 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

7.26 / 20.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.218Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 19.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.9725 (14.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 68.04%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

9.83 / 6.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

5.6 / 7.55Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

14.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

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