Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 8.63 and stabilize above resistance 15.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 15.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.4, MACD 0.149

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 1.02 (15.4%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 87.05Bearish
EMA 218.63Bearish
EMA 5012.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.4 · MACD 0.149

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1.02 · BB 62.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.7 · OBV -17.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
5.68 - 15.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+145.47% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

16.29
Nearest resistance

+130.07% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

15.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

6.64
Nearest support

-14.4% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

5.68
Deeper support zone

-29.8% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

4.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

5.61 - 7.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 7.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.4 / 11.7 / 24.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

8.49 / 20.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

1.02 (15.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 62.83%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

10.57 / 6.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

5.61 / 7.66Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

15.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.149Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.9 / 20.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 7.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.4 / 11.7 / 24.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

8.49 / 20.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.149Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.9 / 20.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

1.02 (15.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 62.83%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

10.57 / 6.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

5.61 / 7.66Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

15.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

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