Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish62%
Weekly Downside probability 62%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 7.8 and stabilize above resistance 12.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 12.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 43.4, MACD 0.396

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.8667 (11.77%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 87.19Bullish
EMA 217.8Bearish
EMA 5011.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.4 · MACD 0.396

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 0.8667 · BB 64.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.7 · OBV -10.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
5.68 - 12.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+88.22% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

13.86
Nearest resistance

+76.45% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

12.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

7.36
Nearest support

-22.83% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

5.68
Deeper support zone

-34.61% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

4.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

6.5 - 8.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 8.32, invalidation 6.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 21.3 / 10.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

5.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

7.65 / 20.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.8667 (11.77%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.59%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

9.45 / 5.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

6.5 / 8.23Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

12.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.396Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.8 / 55.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

9.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 8.32, invalidation 6.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 21.3 / 10.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

5.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

7.65 / 20.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.396Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.8 / 55.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

9.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.8667 (11.77%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.59%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

9.45 / 5.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

6.5 / 8.23Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

12.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

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