Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish72%
Weekly Downside probability 72%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $9.29 and stabilize above resistance $18.91.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $18.91 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 31.7, MACD 0.100

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.13 (17.36%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$7.52Bearish
EMA 21$9.29Bearish
EMA 50$13.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.7 · MACD 0.100

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.13 · BB 51.58%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.3 · OBV -22.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5.68 - $18.91

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+209% · 12.0 ATR above latest close

$20.04
Nearest resistance

+191.64% · 11.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$18.91
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6.48
Nearest support

-12.38% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5.68
Deeper support zone

-29.75% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$4.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5.36 - $7.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $10.49, invalidation $8.92

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.7 / 9.2 / 25.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$9.2 / $20.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.13 (17.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.58%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$11.36 / $6.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5.36 / $7.61Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$18.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.100Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 12.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-192.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $10.49, invalidation $8.92

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.7 / 9.2 / 25.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$9.2 / $20.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.100Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 12.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-192.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.13 (17.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.58%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$11.36 / $6.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5.36 / $7.61Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$18.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5.68Range

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