Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish74%
12h Downside probability 74%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 8.42 and stabilize above resistance 9.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 9.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.8, MACD 0.025

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.3485 (4.31%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 88.34Bearish
EMA 218.42Bearish
EMA 508.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD 0.025

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.3485 · BB 10.84%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.2 · OBV 56.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
7.77 - 9.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.65% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

9.51
Nearest resistance

+13.33% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

9.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

8.08
Nearest support

-3.85% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

7.77
Deeper support zone

-8.16% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

7.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

7.74 - 8.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 7.77, invalidation 8.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.5 / 25.7 / 23.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

6.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

8.44 / 8.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.3485 (4.31%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.84%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

9.27 / 7.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

7.74 / 8.43Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

9.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

7.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.025Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.1 / 43.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

56.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 7.77, invalidation 8.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.5 / 25.7 / 23.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

6.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

8.44 / 8.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.025Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.1 / 43.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.3485 (4.31%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.84%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

9.27 / 7.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

7.74 / 8.43Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

56.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

9.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

7.77Range

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