Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 14.25 and stabilize above resistance 65.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 65.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.8, MACD -0.153

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 5.39 (59.47%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 89.5Bearish
EMA 2114.25Bearish
EMA 5021.37Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.8 · MACD -0.153

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 5.39 · BB 185.70%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.4 · OBV -124.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
5.68 - 65.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+681.22% · 11.5 ATR above latest close

70.78
Nearest resistance

+621.74% · 10.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

65.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

9.06
Nearest support

-37.3% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

5.68
Deeper support zone

-96.77% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

0.2927
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3.67 - 14.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 36.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 19.8 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

19.79 / 35.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

5.39 (59.47%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 185.70%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

19.64 / 8.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3.67 / 14.45Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

65.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.153Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 11.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-124.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 36.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 19.8 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

19.79 / 35.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.153Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 11.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

5.39 (59.47%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 185.70%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

19.64 / 8.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3.67 / 14.45Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-124.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

65.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

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