Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 14.42 and stabilize above resistance 65.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 65.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.5, MACD -0.048

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 5.24 (47.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 89.96Bullish
EMA 2114.42Bearish
EMA 5021.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.5 · MACD -0.048

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 5.24 · BB 182.51%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.9 · OBV -98.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
5.68 - 65.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+534.15% · 11.3 ATR above latest close

70.63
Nearest resistance

+487.09% · 10.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

65.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

11.14
Nearest support

-48.99% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

5.68
Deeper support zone

-96.06% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

0.4391
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

5.9 - 16.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 36.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 20.4 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

19.79 / 35.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

5.24 (47.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 182.51%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

19.41 / 8.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

5.9 / 16.38Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

65.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.048Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.9 / 13.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-98.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 5.68, invalidation 36.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 20.4 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

19.79 / 35.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.048Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.9 / 13.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

5.24 (47.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 182.51%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

19.41 / 8.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

5.9 / 16.38Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-98.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

65.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

5.68Range

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