Cryptocurrency

Avalanche / TetherUS

AVAXUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish90%
Monthly Downside probability 90%Bearish

AVAXUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $16.87 and stabilize above resistance $65.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $65.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.0, MACD -1.279

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.85 (105.64%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$10.79Bearish
EMA 21$16.87Bearish
EMA 50$23.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.0 · MACD -1.279

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.85 · BB 208.80%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.1 · OBV -122.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5.68 - $65.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1,014.12% · 9.6 ATR above latest close

$72.24
Nearest resistance

+908.48% · 8.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$65.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6.48
Nearest support

-12.38% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5.68
Deeper support zone

-118.03% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

-$1.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-$0.3658 - $13.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7.55, invalidation $36.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 19.2 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$11.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.68 / $54.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.85 (105.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 208.80%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$29.4 / $3.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$0.3658 / $13.33Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$65.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.279Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.6 / 4.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-122.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $7.55, invalidation $36.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 19.2 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$11.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.68 / $54.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.279Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.6 / 4.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.85 (105.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 208.80%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$29.4 / $3.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$0.3658 / $13.33Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-122.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$65.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5.68Range

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