US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

ASML 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,624.5 and stabilize above resistance $1,752.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,752.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.3, MACD -4.907

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $28.57 (1.81%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,589.7Bearish
EMA 21$1,624.5Bearish
EMA 50$1,672.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.3 · MACD -4.907

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $28.57 · BB 10.14%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.9 · OBV -14.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,550 - $1,752.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.98% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$1,780.8
Nearest resistance

+11.16% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,752.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,576.3
Nearest support

-1.67% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,550
Deeper support zone

-3.48% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$1,521.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,547.7 - $1,604.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,618.2, invalidation $1,598.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 20.1 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,492.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,617.7 / $1,694Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$28.57 (1.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.14%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,679.5 / $1,564.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,547.7 / $1,604.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,752.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,550Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.907Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.4 / 15.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,618.2, invalidation $1,598.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 20.1 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,492.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,617.7 / $1,694Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.907Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.4 / 15.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$28.57 (1.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.14%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,679.5 / $1,564.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,547.7 / $1,604.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,752.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,550Range

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