US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

ASML 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,827 and stabilize above resistance $1,954.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,954.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -25.974

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $56.29 (3.23%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,813.9Bearish
EMA 21$1,827Bearish
EMA 50$1,758.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -25.974

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $56.29 · BB 12.96%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.9 · OBV -22.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,639.3 - $1,954.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.44% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$2,010.6
Nearest resistance

+12.21% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,954.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,741.7
Nearest support

-5.88% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,639.3
Deeper support zone

-9.11% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$1,583
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,685.4 - $1,798

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,954.4, invalidation $1,803.4

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.9 / 13.0 / 41.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,591.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,829.5 / $1,745.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$56.29 (3.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.96%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,937.7 / $1,719.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,685.4 / $1,798Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,954.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,639.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-25.974Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 8.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-162.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,954.4, invalidation $1,803.4

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.9 / 13.0 / 41.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,591.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,829.5 / $1,745.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-25.974Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 8.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-162.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$56.29 (3.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.96%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,937.7 / $1,719.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,685.4 / $1,798Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,954.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,639.3Range

Related Forecasts