US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish69%
4h Upside probability 69%Bullish

ASML 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1,706.9 and reclaim $1,883.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1,706.9 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 49.1, MACD 2.465

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $32.15 (1.81%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,771.5Bullish
EMA 21$1,779.4Bullish
EMA 50$1,796.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.1 · MACD 2.465

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $32.15 · BB 7.18%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.3 · OBV 10.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,706.9 - $1,883.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.62% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$1,915.5
Nearest resistance

+5.82% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,883.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,779.8
Nearest support

-4.1% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,706.9
Deeper support zone

-5.9% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$1,674.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,747.7 - $1,812

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,847.7, invalidation $1,718.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 16.9 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,681Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,771.8 / $1,853.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$32.15 (1.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.18%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,844.3 / $1,712.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,747.7 / $1,812Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,883.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,706.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.465Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.5 / 50.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,847.7, invalidation $1,718.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 16.9 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,681Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,771.8 / $1,853.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.465Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.5 / 50.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$32.15 (1.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.18%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,844.3 / $1,712.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,747.7 / $1,812Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,883.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,706.9Range

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