US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish64%
4h Downside probability 64%Bearish

ASML 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,506.8 and stabilize above resistance $1,576.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,576.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.2, MACD -0.317

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $33.54 (2.23%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,510.2Bearish
EMA 21$1,506.8Bearish
EMA 50$1,524.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD -0.317

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $33.54 · BB 7.27%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 33.1 · OBV 71.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,338 - $1,576.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.06% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$1,610.3
Nearest resistance

+4.83% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,576.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,504
Nearest support

-11.04% · 4.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,338
Deeper support zone

-13.27% · 5.9 ATR below latest close

$1,304.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,470.5 - $1,537.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,572, invalidation $1,480

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.7 / 16.6 / 21.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,403.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,490.5 / $1,514.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$33.54 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.27%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,572.4 / $1,441.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,470.5 / $1,537.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,576.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,338Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.317Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.1 / 25.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

71.36%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,572, invalidation $1,480

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.7 / 16.6 / 21.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,403.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,490.5 / $1,514.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.317Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.1 / 25.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$33.54 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.27%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,572.4 / $1,441.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,470.5 / $1,537.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

71.36%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,576.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,338Range

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