US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ASML 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,710 and stabilize above resistance $1,790.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,790 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.9, MACD -2.695

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $24.74 (1.46%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,707.1Bearish
EMA 21$1,710Bearish
EMA 50$1,716.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD -2.695

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $24.74 · BB 6.05%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.2 · OBV -0.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,623.3 - $1,790

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.81% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$1,814.7
Nearest resistance

+5.36% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,790
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,699
Nearest support

-4.46% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,623.3
Deeper support zone

-5.91% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$1,598.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,674.3 - $1,723.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,679.6, invalidation $1,738

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 13.9 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,633.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,708.7 / $1,708.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$24.74 (1.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.05%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,756.8 / $1,663.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,674.3 / $1,723.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,790Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,623.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.695Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 23.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,679.6, invalidation $1,738

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 13.9 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,633.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,708.7 / $1,708.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.695Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 23.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$24.74 (1.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.05%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,756.8 / $1,663.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,674.3 / $1,723.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,790Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,623.3Range

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