US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

ASML 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,779.7 and stabilize above resistance $1,896.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,896.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.8, MACD -3.874

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $25.34 (1.44%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,764.1Bearish
EMA 21$1,779.7Bearish
EMA 50$1,776Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.8 · MACD -3.874

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.34 · BB 10.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.4 · OBV 3.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,739.1 - $1,896.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.94% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$1,921.5
Nearest resistance

+7.5% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,896.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,763.8
Nearest support

-1.4% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,739.1
Deeper support zone

-2.83% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$1,713.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,738.4 - $1,789.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,788.6, invalidation $1,741

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.9 / 15.1 / 17.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,696.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,790.7 / $1,780.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$25.34 (1.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.61%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,823 / $1,735Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,738.4 / $1,789.1Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,896.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,739.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.874Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.5 / 26.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,788.6, invalidation $1,741

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.9 / 15.1 / 17.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,696.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,790.7 / $1,780.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.874Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.5 / 26.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$25.34 (1.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.61%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,823 / $1,735Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,738.4 / $1,789.1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,896.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,739.1Range

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