US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish76%
3M Upside probability 76%Bullish

ASML 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $191.25 and reclaim $2,000.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $191.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 74.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $301.29 (16.13%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,449.6Bullish
EMA 21$1,035.4Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 74.5 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $301.29 · BB 190.80%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 76.4 · OBV 130.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$191.25 - $2,000

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.24% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$2,301.2
Nearest resistance

+7.1% · 0.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$2,000
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,867.3
Nearest support

-89.76% · 5.6 ATR below · 30-bar low

$191.25
Deeper support zone

-105.89% · 6.6 ATR below latest close

-$110.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,566 - $2,168.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $2,000, invalidation $578.51

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 35.4 / 7.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$865.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,230.4 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$301.29 (16.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 190.80%

101%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,701.7 / $412.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,566 / $2,168.6Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$191.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

74.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.8 / 92.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

192.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

130.75%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $2,000, invalidation $578.51

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 35.4 / 7.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$865.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,230.4 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

74.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.8 / 92.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

192.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$301.29 (16.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 190.80%

101%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,701.7 / $412.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,566 / $2,168.6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

130.75%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$191.25Range

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