US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish84%
3M Upside probability 84%Bullish

ASML 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $191.25 and reclaim $2,000.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $191.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $318.52 (20.21%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,384.9Bullish
EMA 21$1,008.9Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.3 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $318.52 · BB 182.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 74.0 · OBV 121.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$191.25 - $2,000

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+47.09% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$2,318.5
Nearest resistance

+26.88% · 1.3 ATR above · 30-bar high

$2,000
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,576.3
Nearest support

-87.87% · 4.3 ATR below · 30-bar low

$191.25
Deeper support zone

-108.07% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

-$127.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,257.7 - $1,894.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $2,000, invalidation $578.51

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 33.5 / 7.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$672.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,230.4 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$318.52 (20.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 182.52%

88%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,722.3 / $336.37Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,257.7 / $1,894.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$191.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.5 / 85.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.5Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

163.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

121.18%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $2,000, invalidation $578.51

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 33.5 / 7.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$672.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,230.4 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.5 / 85.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.5Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

163.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$318.52 (20.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 182.52%

88%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,722.3 / $336.37Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,257.7 / $1,894.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

121.18%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$191.25Range

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