US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish88%
12h Downside probability 88%Bearish

ASML 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,657.7 and stabilize above resistance $1,881.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,881.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.0, MACD -8.100

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $43.99 (2.79%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,607.9Bearish
EMA 21$1,657.7Bearish
EMA 50$1,700.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.0 · MACD -8.100

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $43.99 · BB 13.59%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.1 · OBV -34.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,550 - $1,881.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.07% · 7.9 ATR above latest close

$1,925.5
Nearest resistance

+19.29% · 6.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,881.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,577.3
Nearest support

-1.73% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,550
Deeper support zone

-4.52% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$1,506
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,533.3 - $1,621.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,685.4, invalidation $1,618.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.0 / 13.6 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,439.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,655.9 / $1,715.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$43.99 (2.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.59%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,739.1 / $1,570.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,533.3 / $1,621.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,881.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,550Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.100Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.2 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,685.4, invalidation $1,618.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.0 / 13.6 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,439.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,655.9 / $1,715.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.100Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.2 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$43.99 (2.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.59%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,739.1 / $1,570.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,533.3 / $1,621.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,881.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,550Range

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