US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish62%
12h Downside probability 62%Bearish

ASML 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,781.3 and stabilize above resistance $1,896.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,896.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -11.581

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $40.84 (2.32%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,777.5Bearish
EMA 21$1,781.3Bearish
EMA 50$1,766.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -11.581

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $40.84 · BB 9.26%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.6 · OBV -3.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,549 - $1,896.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.82% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$1,937
Nearest resistance

+7.5% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,896.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,763.8
Nearest support

-12.18% · 5.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,549
Deeper support zone

-14.49% · 6.3 ATR below latest close

$1,508.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,722.9 - $1,804.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,896.1, invalidation $1,739.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.5 / 17.0 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,625.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,798.9 / $1,708.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$40.84 (2.32%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.26%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,869.6 / $1,694.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,722.9 / $1,804.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,896.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,549Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.581Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.7 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,896.1, invalidation $1,739.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.5 / 17.0 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,625.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,798.9 / $1,708.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.581Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.7 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$40.84 (2.32%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.26%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,869.6 / $1,694.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,722.9 / $1,804.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,896.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,549Range

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