US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish82%
12h Downside probability 82%Bearish

ASML 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,683.2 and stabilize above resistance $1,916.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,916.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.0, MACD -2.048

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $76.91 (4.68%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,641.6Bullish
EMA 21$1,683.2Bearish
EMA 50$1,727.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.0 · MACD -2.048

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $76.91 · BB 21.53%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 17.7 · OBV 4.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,521.2 - $1,916.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.36% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$1,993.4
Nearest resistance

+16.68% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,916.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,642.5
Nearest support

-7.39% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,521.2
Deeper support zone

-12.07% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$1,444.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,565.6 - $1,719.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,521.2, invalidation $1,721.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.2 / 11.4 / 35.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,409.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,655.9 / $1,760.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$76.91 (4.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.53%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,819.9 / $1,540.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,565.6 / $1,719.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,916.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,521.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.048Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.6 / 32.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,521.2, invalidation $1,721.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.2 / 11.4 / 35.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,409.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,655.9 / $1,760.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.048Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.6 / 32.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$76.91 (4.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.53%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,819.9 / $1,540.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,565.6 / $1,719.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,916.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,521.2Range

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