US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish64%
12h Downside probability 64%Bearish

ASML 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,794.6 and stabilize above resistance $2,000.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $2,000 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.0, MACD -4.337

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $62.48 (3.51%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,773.8Bullish
EMA 21$1,794.6Bearish
EMA 50$1,782.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.0 · MACD -4.337

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $62.48 · BB 15.72%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 56.7 · OBV -2.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,706.9 - $2,000

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.88% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$2,062.4
Nearest resistance

+12.37% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$2,000
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,779.8
Nearest support

-4.1% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,706.9
Deeper support zone

-7.61% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$1,644.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,717.3 - $1,842.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,847.7, invalidation $1,718.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 11.6 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,602.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,817 / $1,800Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$62.48 (3.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.72%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,901 / $1,686.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,717.3 / $1,842.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,706.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.337Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.1 / 29.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.76xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,847.7, invalidation $1,718.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 11.6 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,602.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,817 / $1,800Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.337Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.1 / 29.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$62.48 (3.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.72%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,901 / $1,686.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,717.3 / $1,842.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.76xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,706.9Range

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